IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/seejeb/v13y2018i1p7-16n1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Brexit Referendum and Post-Referendum Events on Selected Stock Exchange Indexes

Author

Listed:
  • Kurecic Petar

    (Associate Professor, University North, Department of Business and Economics,Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Kokotovic Filip

    (Independent online learning examiner and consultant,Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

The paper studies the impact of political turbulence in the United Kingdom in 2016 and 2017 on selected relevant stock indexes. The empirical analysis consists of unit breakpoint tests. The potential points of structural break are determined based on an overview of occurrences of political instability from the Brexit referendum to the snap Parliamentary election of 2017. The paper concludes that the outcome of the referendum on Brexit caused a structural break that was visible in every stock index studied. On the other hand, the paper fails to find any evidence of a structural break caused by subsequent events, namely the decision to call the snap election or the outcome of the election itself. This implies that investors have accepted the UK decision to leave the EU and there was no further destabilization of the stock markets. It can be further concluded that the United Kingdom and the European Union need to address a deep political divide and find a way to coexist and mutually benefit in the period of negotiations and after the Brexit takes place

Suggested Citation

  • Kurecic Petar & Kokotovic Filip, 2018. "Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Brexit Referendum and Post-Referendum Events on Selected Stock Exchange Indexes," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 7-16, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:seejeb:v:13:y:2018:i:1:p:7-16:n:1
    DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2018-0001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/jeb-2018-0001
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/jeb-2018-0001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ebell, Monique, 2016. "Assessing the Impact of Trade Agreements on Trade," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 238, pages 31-42, November.
    2. Christian M. Hafner & Helmut Herwartz, 2008. "Testing for Causality in Variance Usinf Multivariate GARCH Models," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 89, pages 215-241.
    3. Steven J. Davis, 2016. "An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 22740, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Ansgar Belke & Irina Dubova & Thomas Osowski, 2018. "Policy uncertainty and international financial markets: the case of Brexit," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(34-35), pages 3752-3770, July.
    5. Jakob Miethe & David Pothier, 2016. "Brexit: What’s at Stake for the Financial Sector?," DIW Economic Bulletin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 6(31), pages 364-372.
    6. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    7. Inglehart, Ronald F. & Norris, Pippa, 2016. "Trump, Brexit, and the Rise of Populism: Economic Have-Nots and Cultural Backlash," Working Paper Series 16-026, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
    8. Raddant, Matthias, 2016. "The response of European stock markets to the Brexit," Kiel Policy Brief 100, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    9. Phedon A. Nicolaides & Thibault Roy, 2017. "Brexit and Trade: Between Facts and Irrelevance," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 52(2), pages 100-106, March.
    10. Stuart Gietel-Basten, 2016. "Why Brexit? The Toxic Mix of Immigration and Austerity," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 42(4), pages 673-680, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2019. "Stock Market Reactions to Brexit: Case of Selected CEE and SEE Stock Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-14, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ansgar Belke & Irina Dubova & Thomas Osowski, 2018. "Policy uncertainty and international financial markets: the case of Brexit," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(34-35), pages 3752-3770, July.
    2. Costola, Michele & Lorusso, Marco, 2022. "Spillovers among energy commodities and the Russian stock market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    3. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Waël Louhichi, 2022. "The Brexit impact on European market co-movements," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1387-1403, June.
    4. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2024. "Volatility spillovers across the spot and futures oil markets after news announcements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    5. Alexander Koch & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Mei Wang, 2024. "News sentiment and international equity markets during BREXIT period: A textual and connectedness analysis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 5-34, January.
    6. Bastianin, Andrea & Casoli, Chiara & Galeotti, Marzio, 2023. "The connectedness of Energy Transition Metals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    7. Vellachami, Sanggetha & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Brooks, Robert, 2023. "Risk transmission from the energy markets to the carbon market: Evidence from the recursive window approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    8. Christopher Thiem, 2020. "Cross-Category, Trans-Pacific Spillovers of Policy Uncertainty and Financial Market Volatility," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 317-342, April.
    9. Tan, Xueping & Sirichand, Kavita & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2020. "How connected is the carbon market to energy and financial markets? A systematic analysis of spillovers and dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Sakariyahu, Rilwan & Lawal, Rodiat & Adigun, Rasheed & Paterson, Audrey & Johan, Sofia, 2024. "One crash, too many: Global uncertainty, sentiment factors and cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    11. Palomba, Giulio & Tedeschi, Marco, 2024. "Contagion among European financial indices, evidence from a quantile VAR approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(2).
    12. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Ibrahim Darbaz, 2022. "New insights into an old issue: modelling the U.S. food prices," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 675-689, December.
    13. Salem Adel Ziadat & David G. McMillan, 2022. "Oil-stock nexus: the role of oil shocks for GCC markets," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 39(5), pages 801-818, May.
    14. Wei‐Fong Pan & James Reade & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Measuring US regional economic uncertainty," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 1149-1178, September.
    15. Niels Gillmann & Ostap Okhrin, 2023. "Adaptive local VAR for dynamic economic policy uncertainty spillover," Papers 2302.02808, arXiv.org.
    16. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled, 2022. "When bitcoin lost its position: Cryptocurrency uncertainty and the dynamic spillover among cryptocurrencies before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    17. Hesse Nils & Karstens Felix, 2018. "Ordoliberalismus vs. Wirtschaftspopulismus: Unterschiedliche Konzepte für ähnliche Wähler," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 69(1), pages 341-365, July.
    18. Stilianos Fountas & Dimitra Kontana & Paraskevi Tzika, 2024. "Uncertainty and financial asset return spillovers: are they related? Empirical evidence from three continents," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(5), pages 1891-1918, November.
    19. Nong, Huifu, 2021. "Have cross-category spillovers of economic policy uncertainty changed during the US–China trade war?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    20. Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2020. "Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Connectedness of Cross-Country Stock Market Volatilities," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:seejeb:v:13:y:2018:i:1:p:7-16:n:1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.