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Is the Labour Force Participation Rate Non-Stationary in Romania?

Author

Listed:
  • Tiwari Aviral Kumar

    (Faculty of Management, IBS Hyderabad, IFHE University, Room No.: Block C- 204, Dontanpalli (Village), Shankerpalli Road, Hyderabad, A.P., Pin: 501203, India, E-mail: aviral.kr.tiwari@gmail.com)

  • Mutascu Mihai

    (West University of Timisoara, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, 16 J.H. Pestalozzi Street, 300115, Timisoara, Romania, and LEO (Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orléans) UMR7322, Faculté de Droit d'Economie et de Gestion, University of Orléans, Rue de Blois - B.P. 6739, 45067, Orléans, France)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to test hysteresis of the Romanian labour force participation rate, by using time series data, with quarterly frequency, covering the period 1999Q1-2013Q4. The main results reveal that the Romanian labour force participation rate is a nonlinear process and has a partial unit root (i.e. it is stationary in the first regime and non-stationary in the second one), the main breaking point being registered around year 2005. In this context, the value of using unemployment rate as an indicator for capturing joblessness in this country is debatable. Starting from 2005, the participation rate has not followed long-term changes in unemployment rate, the disturbances having permanent effects on labour force participation rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Tiwari Aviral Kumar & Mutascu Mihai, 2015. "Is the Labour Force Participation Rate Non-Stationary in Romania?," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 14(4), pages 411-426, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:reoecp:v:14:y:2015:i:4:p:411-426:n:6
    DOI: 10.1515/revecp-2015-0007
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Labour; Participation; Hysteresis; Process; Nonlinearity; Policy Implications;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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