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Long-Term Labor Force Projections in Romania: An Analysis Based on Data on the Economic Impact of Population Aging

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  • Crețulescu Andreea

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

In the last 30 years, Romania has faced one of the most significant migration phenomena globally, losing over two million inhabitants according to official statistics. However, these figures are reported based on the registered domicile of the population, with many immigrants avoiding changing their residence in Romania, even though they live and work in other countries for decades. This migration has primarily affected the active population, leading to an increasing deficit in Romania's labor market in recent years. Current estimates already indicate a shortage of personnel in sectors such as technology, healthcare, education, or construction. For the year 2024, Romania has approved a new quota of 100,000 foreign workers to address this issue. This decision was made due to the high number of work permit requests in the last 12 months and the significant number of job vacancies reported by employers. This study aims to use methodologies employed by the OECD and the European Commission to project long-term labor force trends in Romania (until 2070) in comparison with other EU member states, anticipating the economic impact of population aging.

Suggested Citation

  • Crețulescu Andreea, 2024. "Long-Term Labor Force Projections in Romania: An Analysis Based on Data on the Economic Impact of Population Aging," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 18(1), pages 533-543.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:poicbe:v:18:y:2024:i:1:p:533-543:n:1010
    DOI: 10.2478/picbe-2024-0046
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rodica Pripoaie & Carmen-Mihaela Cretu & Anca-Gabriela Turtureanu & Carmen-Gabriela Sirbu & Emanuel Ştefan Marinescu & Laurentiu-Gabriel Talaghir & Florentina Chițu & Daniela Monica Robu, 2022. "A Statistical Analysis of the Migration Process: A Case Study—Romania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-27, February.
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