IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/poicbe/v15y2021i1p838-848n40.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Final Consumption and Foreign Trade for Romania and European Union – A Granger causality-based analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Păunică Mihai

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Manole Alexandru

    (“ARTIFEX” University of Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Motofei Cătălina

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

  • Tănase Gabriela-Lidia

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

In this paper, the authors seek to analyze if the relationship between final consumption and foreign trade indicators, at a macroeconomic level, manifests as a Granger causality. The graphical representation of the datasets reveals that the evolutions follow a similar pattern (with the exception of the net export). The indicators on both sides of the causality have been widely approached by researchers, as they contribute to the formation of the Gross Domestic Product. The research methodology follows the Toda-Yamamoto procedure for measurement of Granger causality, as the variables were expected to be (and were found to be in the initial step of the data analysis) non-stationary, and the results on the processing in levels can provide more accurate information. The research hypotheses were designed in order to detail the main topic of the paper on foreign trade indicators. None of the hypotheses has been validated, and the authors consider, in the future, the application of other methods to assess the quantitative side of the links between foreign trade and final consumption. The authors consider that a significant contribution brought by this study is the type of data analysis method applied and the approach towards the two macroeconomic components of the economy, for the cases of Romania and the entire European Union, of which Romania is a member.

Suggested Citation

  • Păunică Mihai & Manole Alexandru & Motofei Cătălina & Tănase Gabriela-Lidia, 2021. "Final Consumption and Foreign Trade for Romania and European Union – A Granger causality-based analysis," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 15(1), pages 838-848, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:poicbe:v:15:y:2021:i:1:p:838-848:n:40
    DOI: 10.2478/picbe-2021-0077
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/picbe-2021-0077
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/picbe-2021-0077?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Farhani, Sahbi & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2014. "The role of natural gas consumption and trade in Tunisia's output," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 677-684.
    2. Mehdi Ben Jebli & Slim Ben Youssef & Ilhan Ozturk, 2015. "The Role of Renewable Energy Consumption and Trade: Environmental Kuznets Curve Analysis for Sub-Saharan Africa Countries," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 27(3), pages 288-300, September.
    3. Ben Jebli, Mehdi & Ben Youssef, Slim & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2013. "The Environmental Kuznets Curve: The Role of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption and Trade Openness," MPRA Paper 51672, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood, 2019. "Energy Consumption and Trade Openness Nexus in Egypt: Asymmetry Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-10, May.
    5. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-057 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Nasreen, Samia & Ling, Chong Hui & Sbia, Rashid, 2014. "Causality between trade openness and energy consumption: What causes what in high, middle and low income countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 126-143.
    7. Imtiaz Arif; Syeda Wajiha Kazmi; Lubna Khan, 2017. "Relationship between Trade Openness and Energy Consumption in Oil Importing Asian Countries," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 2(1), pages 30-39, March.
    8. Brini, Riadh & Amara, Mohamed & Jemmali, Hatem, 2017. "Renewable energy consumption, International trade, oil price and economic growth inter-linkages: The case of Tunisia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 620-627.
    9. Nasreen, Samia & Anwar, Sofia, 2014. "Causal relationship between trade openness, economic growth and energy consumption: A panel data analysis of Asian countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 82-91.
    10. Eyup Dogan, 2016. "The Relationship between Economic Growth, Energy Consumption and Trade," Bulletin of Energy Economics (BEE), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 4(1), pages 70-80, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amri, Fethi, 2019. "Renewable and non-renewable categories of energy consumption and trade: Do the development degree and the industrialization degree matter?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 374-383.
    2. Qamruzzaman, Md & Jianguo, Wei, 2020. "The asymmetric relationship between financial development, trade openness, foreign capital flows, and renewable energy consumption: Fresh evidence from panel NARDL investigation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 827-842.
    3. Fethi Amri, 2019. "Renewable and non-renewable energy and trade into developed and developing countries," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 377-387, January.
    4. Buhari Dogan & Osman Deger, 2016. "How Globalization and Economic Growth Affect Energy Consumption: Panel Data Analysis in the Sample of Brazil, Russia, India, China Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 806-813.
    5. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Anwar, Sabeen & Masood, Sameen, 2015. "The energy-growth nexus in Thailand: Does trade openness boost up energy consumption?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 265-274.
    6. Ghazouani, Tarek & Boukhatem, Jamel & Yan Sam, Chung, 2020. "Causal interactions between trade openness, renewable electricity consumption, and economic growth in Asia-Pacific countries: Fresh evidence from a bootstrap ARDL approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    7. Zainab Fatima & Faisal Nadeem Shah & Bilal Bashir & Muhammad Shazeb, 2022. "Impact of Energy Consumption and Trade on CO2 Emission in Pakistan," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(1), pages 99-105.
    8. Saša Obradović & Nemanja Lojanica, 2019. "Does environmental quality reflect on national competitiveness? The evidence from EU-15," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(4), pages 559-585, June.
    9. Shahzad, Umer & Lv, Yulan & Doğan, Buhari & Xia, Wanjun, 2021. "Unveiling the heterogeneous impacts of export product diversification on renewable energy consumption: New evidence from G-7 and E-7 countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1457-1470.
    10. Asuamah Yeboah, Samuel, 2016. "Bivariate modelling of the influence of trade on aggregate and disaggregate energy use in Ghana," MPRA Paper 106474, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Energy consumption, financial development and economic growth in India: New evidence from a nonlinear and asymmetric analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 199-212.
    12. Ajayi, Patricia & Ogunrinola, Adedeji, 2020. "Growth, Trade Openness and Environmental Degradation in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 100713, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Abdelrahim A. M. Yahia & Zhaohua Li & Ebaidalla Mahjoub Ebaidalla & Jun He, 2021. "Exploring the Impact of Exports on Clean Energy Consumption in China: An Empirical Study," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(1), pages 44-56, March.
    14. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-574 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Ibrahiem, Dalia M. & Hanafy, Shaimaa A., 2021. "Do energy security and environmental quality contribute to renewable energy? The role of trade openness and energy use in North African countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 667-678.
    16. Byeongho Lim & Jeongho Yoo & Kyoungseo Hong & Inkyo Cheong, 2021. "Impacts of Reverse Global Value Chain (GVC) Factors on Global Trade and Energy Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-17, June.
    17. Acheampong, Alex O., 2018. "Economic growth, CO2 emissions and energy consumption: What causes what and where?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 677-692.
    18. Alam, Md. Mahmudul & Murad, Md. Wahid, 2020. "The impacts of economic growth, trade openness and technological progress on renewable energy use in organization for economic co-operation and development countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 382-390.
    19. Seema Narayan & Tri Tung Nguyen, 2019. "Are Exports More Responsive to Clean or Dirty Energy? The Case of Vietnam’s Exports to 54 Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-21, April.
    20. Topcu, Mert & Payne, James E., 2018. "Further evidence on the trade-energy consumption nexus in OECD countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 160-165.
    21. Smyth, Russell & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015. "Applied econometrics and implications for energy economics research," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 351-358.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:poicbe:v:15:y:2021:i:1:p:838-848:n:40. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.