IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/ecobus/v33y2019i1p94-110n7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Monetary Policy Spillovers Through Industrial Growth in Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Shobande Olatunji A.

    (Business School, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK)

Abstract

The study examines the impact of switching from direct to indirect monetary policy on industrial growth in Nigeria, using the annual time series data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) statistical bulletin between 1960 and 2015. The study adopts the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approach developed by Pesaran, Shin and Smith (2001) for estimating the relevant relationships. The result of the long-run estimates shows that domestic credit, interest rate and trade balance have positive impact on industrial output while money supply, inflation and exchange rate have negative impact on industrial growth. The result of the short-run dynamics shows that change in the previous (one and second lagged) periods of indirect monetary policy (interest rate, money supply, domestic credit and exchange rate) and industrial output were negatively related to change in industrial output. The error correction term indicates the speed of adjustment of equilibrium to their long-run position, which was found to be negative and significant. The study recommends that policy makers use both conventional and non-conventional monetary policies to speed up industrial output growth and enhance economic recovery by manipulating the macro-economic fundamentals.

Suggested Citation

  • Shobande Olatunji A., 2019. "Monetary Policy Spillovers Through Industrial Growth in Nigeria: A Time Series Analysis," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 33(1), pages 94-110, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:ecobus:v:33:y:2019:i:1:p:94-110:n:7
    DOI: 10.2478/eb-2019-0007
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2019-0007
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.2478/eb-2019-0007?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Starr, Martha A., 2005. "Does money matter in the CIS? Effects of monetary policy on output and prices," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 441-461, September.
    2. Rafiq, M.S. & Mallick, S.K., 2008. "The effect of monetary policy on output in EMU3: A sign restriction approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1756-1791, December.
    3. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    4. Babatunde Wasiu Adeoye & Olufemi Muibi Saibu, 2014. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(4), pages 544-562.
    5. Owolabi A. Usman & Adegbite Tajudeen Adejare, 2014. "Impact of Monetary Policy on Industrial Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(1), pages 18-31, January.
    6. Ismail O Fasanya & Adegbemi B.O Onakoya & Mariam A Agboluaje, 2013. "Does Monetary Policy Influence Economic Growth in Nigeria?," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(5), pages 635-646.
    7. Ismail O. FASANYA & Adegbemi B.O ONAKOYA & Mariam A. AGBOLUAJE, 2013. "Does Monetary Policy Influence Economic Growth in Nigeria?," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(5), pages 635-646, May.
    8. Michael Baghebo & Ebibai Tombra Stephen, 2014. "Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria (1980-2011)," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(1), pages 20-32, January.
    9. Babatunde .Wasiu. ADEOYE & Olufemi Muibi SAIBU, 2014. "Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Volatility in Nigeria," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(4), pages 544-562, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shodipe Oladimeji T. & Shobande Olatunji Abdul, 2021. "Monetary Policy Dynamics in the United States," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 14-30, January.
    2. Okosu, Napoleon David & Okoduwa, Dorothy Ivie & Ita, Uyu Eyo & Egonu, Daniel Ikenna, 2022. "An Assessment of the Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth in Nigeria: Toda-Yamamoto Approach," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 6(11), pages 537-547, November.
    3. Shobande Olatunji Abdul & Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa, 2019. "New Keynesian Liquidity Trap and Conventional Fiscal Stance: An Estimated DSGE Model," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 33(1), pages 152-169, January.
    4. Kingsley Imandojemu & Bosede Ngozi Adeleye & Babatunde Aina, 2023. "Monetary Policy And Economic Growth In Nigeria: Evidence From Bounds And Bayer-Hanck Cointegration Techniques," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 68(236), pages 81-103, January –.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Enock Nyorekwa Twinoburyo & Nicholas M Odhiambo, 2018. "Can Monetary Policy drive economic growth? Empirical evidence from Tanzania," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 12(2), June.
    2. Adebayo Augustine Kutu & Ntokozo Patrick Nzimande & Simiso Msomi, 2017. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy and the Growth of Industrial Sector in China," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(3), pages 46-59.
    3. Mohammed Modu & Mustapha M.Kime & Buba M. Yunusa, 2023. "Analysis of Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(10), pages 319-334, October.
    4. Olufemi Samuel Adegboyo & Sunday Anderu Keji & Oluwadamilola Tosin Fasina, 2021. "The impact of government policies on Nigeria economic growth (case of fiscal, monetary and trade policies)," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-14, December.
    5. Nyorekwa, Enock Twinoburyo & Odhiambo, Nicholas Mbaya, 2016. "Monetary policy and economic growth in Kenya:The role of money supply and interest rates," Working Papers 20712, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    6. Olufemi Muibi Saibu & Abiodun Murithadoh Musbaudeen, 2018. "Monetary Policy Cyclicality, Industrial Output and Economic Growth Interactions in Nigeria," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 22(2), pages 457-470, Spring.
    7. Benson Ogbonna & Kalu Uma, 2014. "Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism In Nigeria: An Overview," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 0702101, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    8. Bertram Onyebuchi & Simon Peter Nwankwo, 2017. "Responsiveness of Flexible Foreign Exchange Regime (FFER) to Economic Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Sciences, Office ijSciences, vol. 6(10), pages 14-21, October.
    9. A. Adenekan & G. Sanni & A. Itodo, 2019. "Investigating the Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Naira Exchange Rate in Nigeria," Economic and Financial Review, Central Bank of Nigeria, vol. 57(3), September.
    10. Ismail O. FASANYA & Adegbemi B.O ONAKOYA & Mariam A. AGBOLUAJE, 2013. "Does Monetary Policy Influence Economic Growth in Nigeria?," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(5), pages 635-646, May.
    11. Oluwaseun Okikiola, 2021. "The Impact of Money Market Dynamics on the Economic Growth of Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 5(10), pages 77-85, October.
    12. repec:aly:journl:201940 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Edet Joshua Udoh & Sunday Brownson Akpan, 2019. "Macroeconomic variables affecting fish production in Nigeria," Asian Journal of Agriculture and rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(2), pages 216-230, December.
    14. Li, Hongshu & Sarfraz, Muddassar & Nawi, Hafizah Mat & Nguyen, Nhat Tan & Albasher, Gadah & Ramazanovna, Nargiza Kuzieva, 2023. "Does natural resource cause equitable development or resource curse? An analysis of macroeconomic policies for reducing environmental degradation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    15. Bagnai, Alberto & Granville, Brigitte & Mongeau Ospina, Christian A., 2017. "Withdrawal of Italy from the euro area: Stochastic simulations of a structural macroeconometric model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 524-538.
    16. Ebenezer G Olamide & Andrew Maredza, 2021. "The Short and Long Run Dynamics of Monetary Policy, Oil Price Volatility and Economic Growth in the CEMAC Region," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(1), pages 78-89, January.
    17. Reginaldo Pinto Nogueira, 2009. "Is monetary policy really neutral in the long-run? Evidence for some emerging and developed economies," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 2432-2437.
    18. Iwedi Marshal, 2019. "Monetary Policy Transmission Channels and Economic Growth in Nigeria," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 6(2), pages 93-100.
    19. Rami Obeid & Bassam Awad, 2017. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Instruments on Economic Growth in Jordan Using Vector Error Correction Model," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(11), pages 194-206, November.
    20. Marouane Daoui, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: A Literature Review," Papers 2303.03162, arXiv.org.
    21. Igbafe, Timothy, 2022. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Stimulating Economic Growth in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 112622, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth; Industrial; Macroeconomics And Inflation; Monetary Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:ecobus:v:33:y:2019:i:1:p:94-110:n:7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.