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The Short- and Long-Run Relationship Between House Prices and Bank Credit in Developed and Emerging Market Economies: A Comparative Study

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  • Taufiq Carnegie Dawood

Abstract

This study compares the short- and long-term relationships between house prices and bank credit in developed and Emerging Market Economies. This fact is an essential issue because most financing is facilitated by bank credit. Using quarterly data from 22 developed and six Emerging Market Economies and the panel autoregressive distributed lag model method, this study found that real house prices are the prominent factor of bank credit. Moreover, the magnitude of house prices and gross domestic product relationship with domestic bank credit is considerably greater in Emerging Market Economies than in developed nations. Meanwhile, the foreign interest rate on bank credit is nearly four times greater in Emerging Market Economies. Further, the exchange rate-credit relationship is positive for developed countries, whereas negative for Emerging Market Economies. Therefore, authorities maintaining financial stability must pay close attention to real house price dynamics. Moreover, Emerging Market Economies must also consider the exchange rate and foreign interest rates in managing credit growth. JEL: E51, E52, E47, F65, G21

Suggested Citation

  • Taufiq Carnegie Dawood, 2024. "The Short- and Long-Run Relationship Between House Prices and Bank Credit in Developed and Emerging Market Economies: A Comparative Study," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 71(2), pages 163-190.
    • Handle: RePEc:voj:journl:v:71:y:2024:i:2:p:163-190:id:655
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    Keywords

    House prices ; Foreign interest rate ; Bank credit ; Cointegration ; Panel ARDL;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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