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Robustno optimalna monetarna politika sa skoro-racionalnim očekivanjima

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  • Michael Woodford

Abstract

U radu se razmatra optimalna politika monetarne stabilizacije unutar dalekovidog modela kada centralna banka uviđa da očekivanja privatnog sektora ne moraju biti nužno konzistentna modelu, i želi da izabere politiku zadovoljavajuću u slučaju bilo kog uverenja dovoljno bliskog konzistentnosti modela. Utvrđeno je da je obavezivanje i dalje bitno za optimalnu politiku, da optimalni dugoročni inflacioni target nije pod uticajem stepena potencijalnih distorzija verovanja, i da je optimalna politika čak više zavisna od istorijskog konteksta nego u slučaju pretpostavljenih racionalnih očekivanja. Ključne reči: Optimalna monetarna politika, Obavezivanje, Istorijski-zavisna politika.JEL: C62, D84, E13, E31, E32, E52.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Woodford, 2011. "Robustno optimalna monetarna politika sa skoro-racionalnim očekivanjima," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 58(2), pages 157-193.
    • Handle: RePEc:voj:journl:v:58:y:2011:i:2:p:157-193:id:148
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    Keywords

    Optimalna monetarna politika; Obavezivanje; Istorijski-zavisna politika;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E13 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Neoclassical
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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