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The Impact Of Sovereign Credit Ratings On Interest Rates In Emerging Economies – Case From Georgia

Author

Listed:
  • LOMADZE, Davit

    (Caucasus University, Caucasus School of Business, Tbilisi, Georgia)

  • BERISHVILI, Vakhtang

    (Caucasus University, Caucasus School of Business, Tbilisi, Georgia)

Abstract

This study examines the impact of sovereign credit ratings on corporate loan interest rates in Georgia, focusing on the relationship between credit rating announcements and economic variables. Utilizing event study methodology and multiple linear regression with dummy variables, the research analyzes 32 Fitch credit rating announcements from July 2007 to January 2024. The study uses abnormal return analysis by Constant return and Market-adjusted models based on data of corporate loan interest rates and incorporates market rates based on U.S. Treasury bond yields. Key findings reveal a strong correlation (0.82) between Fitch's credit rating scores and corporate loan interest rates, with regression models demonstrating statistically significant results when incorporating two-month anticipation and three-month adjustment periods. Research is unique for Georgian context and provides noteworthy information for financial market participants, policy makers and academics.

Suggested Citation

  • LOMADZE, Davit & BERISHVILI, Vakhtang, 2024. "The Impact Of Sovereign Credit Ratings On Interest Rates In Emerging Economies – Case From Georgia," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 12(1), pages 115-125, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:vls:rojfme:v:12:y:2024:i:1:p:115-125
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    country risk; sovereign credit ratings; event study; corporate loan interest rates; abnormal return analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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