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Regional Differences In Italian Fertility: Historical Trends And Scenarios

Author

Listed:
  • Marcantonio Caltabiano

    (Department of Economics, University of Messina)

  • Alessandro Rosina

    (Center for Applied Statistics in Business and Economics, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart)

Abstract

In this paper we discuss the differences in fertility levels and timing among Italian regions. We firstly present the trends that characterized these differences in the last forty years along the North-South divide. We show, in particular, that in the first decade of this century the total fertility rate in the Northern area surprisingly surpassed the level of rest of the country. We then investigate the driving forces of this reversal, some related to the economic background of each area (e.g. women unemployment and participation to labor market), but also some related to its social and cultural characteristics (e.g. welfare effectiveness, diffusion of new family behaviors). We conclude discussing the perspectives of fertility levels, positive in the centre-north, negative in the southern area, due to a combination of restraining factors that policies should remove

Suggested Citation

  • Marcantonio Caltabiano & Alessandro Rosina, 2018. "Regional Differences In Italian Fertility: Historical Trends And Scenarios," Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, vol. 126(1), pages 27-46.
    • Handle: RePEc:vep:journl:y:2018:v:126:i:1:p:26-46
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Italy; Regional differences; Fertility; Policies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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