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The Reliability of Delphi Surveys and Benefit Transfer to Predict Outcomes of Contingent Valuation Surveys

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  • Anders Dugstad
  • Ståle Navrud

Abstract

Benefit transfer (BT) and valuation experts’ assessments in Delphi contingent valuation (CV) surveys have been used as an alternative to prohibitively expensive worldwide CV surveys to obtain estimates of total nonuse values of global public goods. We test the reliability of international BT and Delphi CV estimates by comparing them to a population CV survey of Norwegian households’ willingness to pay (WTP) for Amazon rainforest preservation plans. The Delphi CV method predicts WTP and scope effects in line with conventional BT, motivating further testing of the Delphi CV method as a time- and cost-saving way of valuing global public goods.

Suggested Citation

  • Anders Dugstad & Ståle Navrud, 2023. "The Reliability of Delphi Surveys and Benefit Transfer to Predict Outcomes of Contingent Valuation Surveys," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 99(3), pages 413-432.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:99:y:2023:i:3:p:413-432
    Note: DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/le.99.3.051922-0037R
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q57 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Ecological Economics

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