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The Impact of Weather Risk on Tenure Security: Evidence from Smallholder Farmers in Tanzania

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Listed:
  • Lisa Murken
  • Gregor Mager
  • Rahel Laudien
  • Kati Kraehnert
  • Christoph Gornott

Abstract

We analyze whether exposure to weather risk affects the tenure security of smallholder farmers in rural Tanzania. Drawing on a household panel survey with three waves and high-resolution weather data, our identification strategy exploits exogenous variation in precipitation across time and space. Results from household fixed effects estimations show that exposure to weather risk significantly lowers farmers’ perceived tenure security, while it increases land conflicts. Moreover, weather risk influences the likelihood that farmers acquire land certificates. These findings suggest that both land formalization and land dispute resolution mechanisms are needed to cushion the effects of weather risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Lisa Murken & Gregor Mager & Rahel Laudien & Kati Kraehnert & Christoph Gornott, 2024. "The Impact of Weather Risk on Tenure Security: Evidence from Smallholder Farmers in Tanzania," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 100(4), pages 668-689.
    • Handle: RePEc:uwp:landec:v:100:y:2024:i:4:p:668-689
    Note: DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/le.100.4.101422-0079R1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elizabeth J. Kendon & Rachel A. Stratton & Simon Tucker & John H. Marsham & Ségolène Berthou & David P. Rowell & Catherine A. Senior, 2019. "Enhanced future changes in wet and dry extremes over Africa at convection-permitting scale," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Benjamin Linkow, 2016. "Causes and Consequences of Perceived Land Tenure Insecurity: Survey Evidence from Burkina Faso," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 92(2), pages 308-327.
    3. Eoin F. McGuirk & Nathan Nunn, 2020. "Transhumant Pastoralism, Climate Change, and Conflict in Africa," NBER Working Papers 28243, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Stein Holden & Klaus Deininger & Hosaena Ghebru, 2011. "Tenure Insecurity, Gender, Low-cost Land Certification and Land Rental Market Participation in Ethiopia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 31-47.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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