IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/url/izvest/v19y2018i6p16-32.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The ruble exchange rate: What is the preferable level?

Author

Listed:
  • M. V. Yershov

    (Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation)

  • Anna S. Tanasova

    (Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation)

  • Viktor Yu. Tatuzov

    (Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation)

Abstract

The sanctions against Russia enforced by the USA in 2018 have increased the relevance of the issues related to the preferable ruble exchange rate, which could accelerate national economic growth and improve its qualitative characteristics. The paper researchers the problems of the Russian ruble tran? sition to free floating and inflation targeting and a subsequent increase in volatility of its exchange rate. Methodologically the paper relies on fundamental propositions of macroeconomics and the theory of inflation. Statistical methods are used. The authors review the approaches to forming strategic reference points for currency exchange rates in a number of countries, reveal methodological, and applied bases for determining rational limits of the ruble exchange rate. The authors develop a theoretical approach to inflation as a multi-factor phenomenon and justify the preferable deviation of the nominal ruble ex? change rate from the purchasing power parity ruble exchange rate. These conclusions are made on the basis of the analysis of the Russian inflation and the role of the exchange rate factor in pricing. The sug? gested approaches to the problem studied will allow determining the directions for improvement of the exchange rate policy. The authors argue that making the ruble space more stable appears to be crucial for creation of the comfortable investment environment and elaborate on the measures targeted at stabilisa? tion of the ruble exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • M. V. Yershov & Anna S. Tanasova & Viktor Yu. Tatuzov, 2018. "The ruble exchange rate: What is the preferable level?," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 19(6), pages 16-32, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:url:izvest:v:19:y:2018:i:6:p:16-32
    DOI: 10.29141/2073-1019-2018-19-6-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://izvestia.usue.ru/images/download/80/2.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://izvestia.usue.ru/en/-2018/773
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.29141/2073-1019-2018-19-6-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Irving B. Kravis & Robert E. Lipsey, 1991. "The International Comparison Program: Current Status and Problems," NBER Chapters, in: International Economic Transactions: Issues in Measurement and Empirical Research, pages 437-468, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 1995. "The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 73-96, Fall.
    3. Robert Boyer & Jean-Pascal Benassy & Rosa-Maria Gelpi, 1979. "Régulation des économies capitalistes et inflation," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 30(3), pages 397-441.
    4. Morris Goldstein & Nicholas R. Lardy (ed.), 2008. "Debating China's Exchange Rate Policy," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 4150, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mikhail V. Ershov & Anna S. Tanasova & Elena Yu. Sokolova, 2020. "Strengthening the role of public governance approaches to ensure sustainable economic growth," Upravlenets, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 11(6), pages 15-27, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Akosah, Nana Kwame & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2020. "Testing for asymmetry in monetary policy rule for small-open developing economies: Multiscale Bayesian quantile evidence from Ghana," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    2. Demir, İshak, 2014. "Monetary policy responses to the exchange rate: Empirical evidence from the ECB," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 63-70.
    3. Bofinger, Peter & Wollmershauser, Timo, 2001. "Is there a third way to EMU for the EU accession countries?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 253-274, September.
    4. J. Ramos-Tallada., 2013. "The IMF and management of capital flows: the long road towards a pragmatic approach," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 31, pages 63-85, Autumn.
    5. Maurice Obstfeld & Jay C. Shambaugh & Alan M. Taylor, 2005. "The Trilemma in History: Tradeoffs Among Exchange Rates, Monetary Policies, and Capital Mobility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(3), pages 423-438, August.
    6. Guillermo A. Calvo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 2002. "Fear of Floating," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(2), pages 379-408.
    7. White, Reilly & Marinakis, Yorgos & Islam, Nazrul & Walsh, Steven, 2020. "Is Bitcoin a currency, a technology-based product, or something else?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    8. Kocenda, Evzen & Hanousek, Jan & Engelmann, Dirk, 2008. "Currencies, competition, and clans," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 1115-1132.
    9. Bagella, Michele & Becchetti, Leonardo & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2004. "The anticipated and concurring effects of the EMU: exchange rate volatility, institutions and growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(7-8), pages 1053-1080.
    10. Stein, Ernesto H. & Streb, Jorge M., 2004. "Elections and the timing of devaluations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 119-145, May.
    11. Nikola Fabris & Slobodan Aćimović, 2010. "Exchange Rate Policy in Serbia," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 17(1), pages 170-180, May.
    12. Muhammad Arshad Khan & Ather Maqsood Ahmed, 2016. "Conducting Monetary Policy in South Asian Economies: An Investigation," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 161-190.
    13. Oriola, Hugo, 2023. "Political monetary cycles: An empirical study," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Lin, Shu, 2006. "Does it pay to go to the corners? An empirical evaluation of the bipolar view of exchange rate regimes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(3), pages 342-347, September.
    15. Jesús Rodríguez López & Hugo Rodríguez Mendizábal, 2003. "How Tight Should Central Bank’s Hands be Tied? Credibility, Volatility and the Optimal Band Width of a Target Zone," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2003/24, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
    16. Jeffrey A. Frankel & Shang-Jin Wei, 2004. "Managing Macroeconomic Crises," NBER Working Papers 10907, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Aizenman, Joshua, 2010. "The Impossible Trinity (aka The Policy Trilemma)," Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt9k29n6qn, Department of Economics, UC Santa Cruz.
    18. Luis Miguel Galindo & Horacio Catalán, 2005. "The Taylor Rule And The Exchange Rate In Mexico (An Empirical Appraisal)," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 4(2), pages 115-125, Junio 200.
    19. Buiter, Willem H. & Corsetti, Giancarlo & Pesenti, Paolo, 1996. "Interpreting the ERM Crisis: Country-Specific and Systemic Issues," CEPR Discussion Papers 1466, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Bofinger, Peter, 2000. "A framework for stabilizing the euro/yen/dollar triplet," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 137-151, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic growth; currency exchange rate; purchasing power parity; exchange rate regime; inflation targeting; exchange rate volatility.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A31 - General Economics and Teaching - - Multisubject Collective Works - - - Multisubject Collected Writings of Individuals
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:url:izvest:v:19:y:2018:i:6:p:16-32. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Victor Blaginin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/usueeru.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.