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Forecasting of economic growth of region in conditions of deficiency of the information

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  • Sergey Sadov

Abstract

The new approach to forecasting economic growth of the region, showing minimal requirements to a supply with information, is offered in clause. It is based on combinatory likelihood modelling of dependence of a parameter of economic growth from its reliability. The method we shall apply to regions with the expressed branch specialization for the period before realization of structural reorganization of economy. In the conclusion the forecast of growth of Republic Komi VRP up to 2020 is given − is shown, that it will make 4 − 6% a year at preservation of energy raw specializations.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergey Sadov, 2007. "Forecasting of economic growth of region in conditions of deficiency of the information," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(4), pages 201-205.
    • Handle: RePEc:ura:ecregj:v:1:y:2007:i:4:p:201-205
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