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Uma Perspectiva Crítica do Novo Regime Fiscal para a Dinâmica de Curto e Longo Prazo da Economia brasileira

Author

Listed:
  • Hugo Carcanholo Iasco Pereira

    (Cedeplar/UFMG)

  • Tarik Tanure

    (Cedeplar/UFMG)

  • André Teixeira

    (Cedeplar/UFMG)

  • Fabrício J. Missio

    (Cedeplar/UFMG)

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to present a critical perspective for the "there is no alternative" ideology present in the New Fiscal Regime for the short and long term dynamics of the Brazilian economy. For this, the paper initially analyzes the situation of the main macroeconomic aggregates of the Brazilian economy in the triennium 2014-2016, highlighting the recession and the fiscal problem. Then, two elements are critically analyzed: i- the long-term: the distribution of the budget resources and the impacts on human capital (education and health) and ii- the short-term: the possibility that the PEC 55 reinforces the indexation of Brazilian economy and therefore reduces the economic growth. Finally, a critical perspective of the economic "model" present in the diagnosis that underlies the New Fiscal Regime is presented. The conclusion is that the solutions proposed to solve the fiscal and economic crisis are questionable and constitute a highly risky bet.

Suggested Citation

  • Hugo Carcanholo Iasco Pereira & Tarik Tanure & André Teixeira & Fabrício J. Missio, 2017. "Uma Perspectiva Crítica do Novo Regime Fiscal para a Dinâmica de Curto e Longo Prazo da Economia brasileira," REOESTE - Revista de Economia do Centro-Oeste, Nepec - Curso de Ciencias Economicas da Universidade Federal de Goias - FACE, vol. 3(1), pages 51-69.
    • Handle: RePEc:ufb:rpaper:v:3:y:2017:i:1:p:51-69
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    Keywords

    Recession; austerity and ideology;

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