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Testing Financial Market Equilibrium under Asymmetric Information

Author

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  • Lang, Larry H P
  • Litzenberger, Robert H
  • Madrigal, Vicente

Abstract

The authors devise tests that distinguish between competitive (Walrasian), fully revealing rational expectations and noisy rational expectations equilibria based on their predictions concerning trading volume around public information signals. Empirical results strongly support the noisy rational expectations hypothesis. This indicates that a significant amount of noise exists (so that private information has value), but not enough to obfuscate entirely the information content of price. The authors' analysis also indicates that the dispersion of private information across traders has an impact on trading volume, but not on price. Copyright 1992 by University of Chicago Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Lang, Larry H P & Litzenberger, Robert H & Madrigal, Vicente, 1992. "Testing Financial Market Equilibrium under Asymmetric Information," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 100(2), pages 317-348, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:v:100:y:1992:i:2:p:317-48
    DOI: 10.1086/261820
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Roger D. & Masulis, Ronald W., 2003. "Trading activity and stock price volatility: evidence from the London Stock Exchange," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 249-269, May.
    2. Noldeke, Georg, 1997. "On Testing for Financial Market Equilibrium under Asymmetric Information: Comment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(5), pages 1107-1113, October.
    3. Frankel, Jeffrey A & Schmukler, Sergio L, 2000. "Country Funds and Asymmetric Information," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(3), pages 177-195, July.
    4. Zhou, Chunsheng, 1998. "Dynamic portfolio choice and asset pricing with differential information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 22(7), pages 1027-1051, May.
    5. Lee, Yi-Tsung & Lin, Ji-Chai & Liu, Yu-Jane, 1999. "Trading patterns of big versus small players in an emerging market: An empirical analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 701-725, May.
    6. Cunado Eizaguirre, Juncal & Biscarri, Javier Gomez & Hidalgo, Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2004. "Structural changes in volatility and stock market development: Evidence for Spain," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1745-1773, July.
    7. Choi, Jong-Seo & Choe, Chongwoo, 1998. "Explanatory factors for trading volume responses to annual earnings announcements: Evidence from the Korean stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 6(1-2), pages 193-212, May.
    8. Lang, Larry H. P. & Lee, Yi Tsung, 1999. "Performance of various transaction frequencies under call markets: The case of Taiwan," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 23-39, February.
    9. Selim Tuzunturk, 2009. "The relationship between volatility and volume on the Istanbul stock exchange," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(3), pages 289-304.
    10. Yi-Mien Lin & Taychang Wang, 2001. "The effect of sequential information releases on trading volume and price behaviour," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 119-132.
    11. Gallant, A Ronald & Rossi, Peter E & Tauchen, George, 1993. "Nonlinear Dynamic Structures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 871-907, July.
    12. Jean†Franã‡Ois L'Her & Jean†Marc Suret, 1996. "Consensus, Dispersion and Security prices," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(1), pages 209-228, March.
    13. Ed Nosal, 1992. "Discussion of “Voluntary financial disclosure in an entry game with continua of types†," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 9(1), pages 81-85, September.
    14. Jean†Franã‡Ois L'Her & Jean†Marc Suret, 1996. "Consensus, dispersion et prix des titres," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(1), pages 229-249, March.
    15. Carl Plat, 2005. "A Double Auction Market with Signals of Varying Precision," Experimental 0508004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Harris, Milton & Raviv, Artur, 1993. "Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 473-506.
    17. Numan Ülkü, 2008. "Do Big Investors’ Trades Have Predictive Power? A Note on Istanbul Stock Market," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, vol. 2(1), pages 85-108.
    18. Mougoué, Mbodja & Aggarwal, Raj, 2011. "Trading volume and exchange rate volatility: Evidence for the sequential arrival of information hypothesis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2690-2703, October.
    19. Gerhard, Frank & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2000. "Determinants of Inter-Trade Durations and Hazard Rates Using Proportional Hazard ARMA Model," CoFE Discussion Papers 00/20, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
    20. Dimitrios V Kousenidis & Christos Negakis, 2013. "The Underperformance of Young Closed-End Funds in Greece," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 17(1-2), pages 107-148, March - J.
    21. Carrera, Jose M., 1999. "Speculative attacks to currency target zones: A market microstructure approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(5), pages 555-582, December.

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