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College Attrition and the Dynamics of Information Revelation

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Arcidiacono
  • Esteban Aucejo
  • Arnaud Maurel
  • Tyler Ransom

Abstract

We examine how informational frictions impact schooling and work outcomes by estimating a dynamic structural model where individuals face uncertainty about their academic ability and productivity, which determine their schooling utility and wages. We account for different college types, majors, occupational search frictions, and work hours. Individuals learn from grades and wages, which may affect their choices. Removing informational frictions would increase graduation by 4.4 percentage points and by an additional 2 points without search frictions. Providing students with full information about their abilities would increase the college and white-collar wage premia while reducing the graduation gap by family income.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Arcidiacono & Esteban Aucejo & Arnaud Maurel & Tyler Ransom, 2025. "College Attrition and the Dynamics of Information Revelation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 133(1), pages 53-110.
  • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/732526
    DOI: 10.1086/732526
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