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Is a Convertible Bond Call Really Bad News?

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  • Ederington, Louis H
  • Goh, Jeremy C

Abstract

We test and reject the hypothesis that managers call in-the-money convertibles when they view a decline in the value of the firm as likely. Inconsistent with this view, we find that insiders generally buy equity before conversion-forcing calls. Also, analysts tend to raise their earnings forecasts following a call. Thus, our evidence supports the alternative hypothesis that the price decline immediately following conversion-forcing calls is a purely transitory decline caused by the anticipated increase in the supply of equity. Indeed, our evidence confirms that the initial price decline is reversed in the weeks following the announcement. Copyright 2001 by University of Chicago Press.

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  • Ederington, Louis H & Goh, Jeremy C, 2001. "Is a Convertible Bond Call Really Bad News?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 74(3), pages 459-476, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:74:y:2001:i:3:p:459-76
    DOI: 10.1086/321934
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    Cited by:

    1. Adoukonou, Olivier & André, Florence & Viviani, Jean-Laurent, 2021. "The determinants of the convertible bonds call policy of Western European companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Bechmann, Ken L., 2004. "Short sales, price pressure, and the stock price response to convertible bond calls," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 427-451, October.
    3. Alderson, Michael J. & Betker, Brian L. & Stock, Duane R., 2006. "Investment and financing activity following calls of convertible bonds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 895-914, March.
    4. Omar, Ayishat & Tang, Alex P., 2019. "Earnings management and convertible preferred stock calls," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 423-433.
    5. Tobias Nigbur, 2015. "Calls of convertible debt securities: no bad news at all," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 29(1), pages 61-79, February.
    6. Scruggs, John T., 2007. "Estimating the cross-sectional market response to an endogenous event: Naked vs. underwritten calls of convertible bonds," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 220-247, March.
    7. Bechmann, Ken L. & Lunde, Asger & Zebedee, Allan A., 2014. "In- and out-of-the-money convertible bond calls: Signaling or price pressure?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 135-148.
    8. Grundy, Bruce D. & Veld, Chris & Verwijmeren, Patrick & Zabolotnyuk, Yuriy, 2014. "Why are conversion-forcing call announcements associated with negative wealth effects?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 149-157.

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