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Re-examining the Impact of ACFTA on ASEAN's Exports of Manufactured Goods to China

Author

Listed:
  • Tham Siew Yean

    (Institute of Malaysian and International Studies University Kebangsaan)

  • Andrew Kam Jia Yi

    (Institute of Malaysian and International Studies University Kebangsaan)

Abstract

There is a relatively large body of literature examining ASEAN–China relations, including assessments of the impact of the ASEAN–China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA) on ASEAN's welfare and its trade with China. Overall, the results of these studies indicate a positive impact of ACFTA on the region's exports to China. These results differ from firm-level surveys that indicate a low utilization rate of most regional trade agreement tariff concessions, including those provided by ACFTA. Moreover, trade in manufactured goods in the region has been characterized as market-led, and governed by multinationals (MNCs) and their regional production networks. Thus, MNC decisions are the driving force influencing changes in manufactured parts and components trade in the region. This trade is also fostered by duty-free imports in the export enclaves provided by the host economies for these MNCs. In view of the conflicting empirical evidence on the trade effects of regional trade agreements, the objective of this study is to re-assess the impact of ACFTA on ASEAN's manufactured exports to China. In performing this analysis, we separately evaluate the effects of trade in parts and components (P&C) and non–parts and components (non P&C) or final manufactured goods. When we apply gravity estimation methods to individual regressions for these two forms of trade, we find that the determinants of trade are indeed different for the two sectors, and that the implementation of ACFTA had different effects on P&C versus final goods ASEAN exports to China. © 2014 The Earth Institute at Columbia University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Suggested Citation

  • Tham Siew Yean & Andrew Kam Jia Yi, 2014. "Re-examining the Impact of ACFTA on ASEAN's Exports of Manufactured Goods to China," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 13(3), pages 63-82, Fall.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:asiaec:v:13:y:2014:i:3:p:63-82
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kenta Yamanouchi, 2019. "Heterogeneous Impacts of Free Trade Agreements: The Case of Japan," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 18(2), pages 1-20, Summer.
    2. Said, Rashidi & Ismail, Normaz Wana, 2018. "The Impacts of Malaysian Free Trade Agreements on Margins of Trade," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(1), pages 169-178.
    3. Jamil, Nida & Chaudhry, Theresa Thompson & Chaudhry, Azam, 2022. "Trading textiles along the new silk route: The impact on Pakistani firms of gaining market access to China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    4. Nugraheni, Reninta Dewi & Widodo, Tri, 2018. "The Impact of ASEAN’S FTAs with China, Japan, Korea and Australia-New Zealand: An Analysis in GTAP Framework," MPRA Paper 86693, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ASEAN-China relations; ACFTA; Free Trade Agreement; exports; MNCs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F55 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Institutional Arrangements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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