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Trade Implications of the Trans-Pacific Partnership for ASEAN and Other Asian Countries

Author

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  • Alan V. Deardorff

    (Associate Dean and Professor, International Economics at the Ford School of Public Policy, University of Michigan)

Abstract

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) aspires to become a state-of-the-art trade agreement linking 12 countries on both sides of the Pacific. In addition to establishing a free trade agreement (FTA) among these countries, negotiators are pursuing a long list of other issues, both trade-related and non-trade related. This paper examines the likely effects of the TPP on trade alone, taking into account the fact that all of the potential members of the TPP are already participants in other FTAs. Using information from the World Trade Organization (WTO) on the existence of these FTAs plus data on the identities of countries’ major trading partners for both exports and imports, I discuss the likely effects on a list of countries in terms of trade creation, trade diversion, preference erosion, and “trade reversion”--the reversal of trade diversion that has already occurred due to existing FTAs. The list of countries includes all of the members of the TPP as well as of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). In addition it includes 10 additional Asian economies that are not part of either. © 2013 Asian Development Bank and Asian Development Bank Institute.

Suggested Citation

  • Alan V. Deardorff, 2014. "Trade Implications of the Trans-Pacific Partnership for ASEAN and Other Asian Countries," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 31(2), pages 1-20, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:adbadr:v:31:y:2014:i:2:p:1-20
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    Cited by:

    1. Joshua K. Hausman & Johannes F. Wieland, 2014. "Abenomics: Preliminary Analysis and Outlook," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 1-76.
    2. Alan V. Deardorff & Rishi R. Sharma, "undated". "The Simple Analytics of Trade Creation and Diversion," Working Papers 670, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.
    3. Prasetyono, Pipin & Wibowo, Agung, 2016. "Should Indonesia join the Trans-Pacific Partnership?," MPRA Paper 97786, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Coulibaly, Adama Ekberg & El Helepi, Medhat & Chikhuri, Krishna & Ali, Tariq, 2016. "The Doha agenda: What’s in it for Africa, and what next for secured development outcomes and fast integration imperatives?," Conference papers 332770, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Hiro Lee & Ken Itakura, 2015. "Applied General Equilibrium Analysis of Mega-Regional Free Trade Initiatives in the Asia-Pacific," OSIPP Discussion Paper 15E001, Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University.
    6. Paramita Dasgupta & Kakali Mukhopadhyay, 2017. "The impact of the TPP on selected ASEAN economies," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 6(1), pages 1-34, December.
    7. Kawai, Masahiro & Naknoi, Kanda, 2015. "ASEAN Economic Integration through Trade and Foreign Direct Investment: Long-Term Challenges," ADBI Working Papers 545, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    8. Masahiro Kawai & Kanda Naknoi, 2017. "ASEAN’s TRADE AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: LONG-TERM CHALLENGES FOR ECONOMIC INTEGRATION," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(03), pages 643-680, June.
    9. Michael, Bryane, 2017. "The Effect of Competition Law on Brunei’s Small and Medium Enterprises," EconStor Preprints 169114, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    partnership; ASEAN; trade diversion; preference erosion; free trade agreement; FTA; trade creation; international;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M16 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration - - - International Business Administration
    • M20 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - General
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance

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