IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/tei/journl/v15y2022i3p38-51.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

ARDL Analysis of Remittance and Per Capita Growth Nexus in Oil Dependent Economy: The Nigeria’s Experience

Author

Listed:
  • Mathew Ekundayo Rotimi

    (Department of Economics, Federal University Lokoja, Kogi State, Nigeria)

  • Mishelle Doorasamy

    (School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, College of Law and Management Studies, University of KwaZulu Natal, Durban, South Africa)

  • Udi Joshua

    (Department of Economics, Federal University Lokoja, Kogi State, Nigeria)

  • Grace Gift Rotimi

    (Department of Business Administration, Prince Abubakar University, Anyigba, Nigeria)

  • Confort Omolayo Rotimi

    (Department of Economics, Federal University Lokoja, Kogi State, Nigeria)

  • Gabriel Samuel

    (Department of Accounting, Ibrahim Babangida University, Lapai, Niger State, Nigeria)

  • Gbenga Adeyemi

    (Wesley University, Ondo, ondo State, Nigeria)

  • Ayodele Solomon Alemayo

    (College of Education (Technical), Gbeleko, Kabba, Kogi State, Nigeria)

  • Alfred Kimea

    (Institute of Tax Administration, Tanzania)

Abstract

Purpose: Remittance is essential to economic wellbeing. Realising this fact, this study examined, within the optimist theoretical framework, whether international remittances significantly impact per capita economic growth in Nigeria. Design/methodology/approach: Employing annual time series data spanning 1980-2020, the study adopted the Pesaran, Shin, and Smith ARDL bounds estimating model to examine the type of relationships between remittances and Nigeria’s per capita growth. Finding: The study reveals a statistically significant positive nexus in the long-run and short-run among the variables. Specifically, it found that higher remittances inflow enhances per capita growth both in long-run and short-run in Nigeria. Furthermore, the study found that remittances are sources of external financing and eventually, it is a means to economic growth and also may help to fill fiscal deficit gap. Research limitations/implications: This study recommends that government should, through sound policy option, encourage remittances influx. This could be realised by creating viable relationship among international communities that largely account for remittance inflow into Nigeria. It further suggests a prudent and optimal management of remittances inflow through the appropriate monetary authority. This may include formulating policy that will ease remittance inflow and remove unnecessary barriers to inflow of remittances. Originality/value: The study contributes to literature by examining whether international remittances within the optimist theoretical framework significantly impact per capita economic growth (PCEG) in Nigeria.

Suggested Citation

  • Mathew Ekundayo Rotimi & Mishelle Doorasamy & Udi Joshua & Grace Gift Rotimi & Confort Omolayo Rotimi & Gabriel Samuel & Gbenga Adeyemi & Ayodele Solomon Alemayo & Alfred Kimea, 2022. "ARDL Analysis of Remittance and Per Capita Growth Nexus in Oil Dependent Economy: The Nigeria’s Experience," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 15(3), pages 38-51, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:tei:journl:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:38-51
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ijbesar.af.duth.gr/docs/volume15_issue3/15_03_03.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://ijbesar.af.duth.gr/volume15_issue3.php
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ron Alquist & Lutz Kilian, 2010. "What do we learn from the price of crude oil futures?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 539-573.
    2. Tassew Dufera Tolcha & P.Nandeeswar Rao, 2016. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth in Ethiopia," Indian Journal of Commerce and Management Studies, Educational Research Multimedia & Publications,India, vol. 7(2), pages 01-15, May.
    3. Todaro, Michael P, 1969. "A Model for Labor Migration and Urban Unemployment in Less Developed Countries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 59(1), pages 138-148, March.
    4. Garcia-Fuentes, Pablo A. & Kennedy, P. Lynn, 2009. "Remittances and economic growth in Latin America and the Caribbean: The Impact of the human capital development," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46751, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    5. Lutkepohl, Helmut, 2006. "Forecasting with VARMA Models," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 6, pages 287-325, Elsevier.
    6. Ralph Chami & Connel Fullenkamp & Samir Jahjah, 2005. "Are Immigrant Remittance Flows a Source of Capital for Development?," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 52(1), pages 55-81, April.
    7. Giuliano, Paola & Ruiz-Arranz, Marta, 2009. "Remittances, financial development, and growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 144-152, September.
    8. D. O. Olayungbo & Ahmod Quadri, 2019. "Remittances, financial development and economic growth in sub-Saharan African countries: evidence from a PMG-ARDL approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-25, December.
    9. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    10. Shimul, Shafiun N., 2013. "Remittance and economic development: Evidence from Bangladesh using unrestricted error correction model and Engle-Granger cointegration approach," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 9(1), pages 1-7, April.
    11. Cazachevici, Alina & Havranek, Tomas & Horvath, Roman, 2020. "Remittances and economic growth: A meta-analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    12. Acosta, Pablo & Calderon, Cesar & Fajnzylber, Pablo & Lopez, Humberto, 2008. "What is the Impact of International Remittances on Poverty and Inequality in Latin America?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 89-114, January.
    13. Russell, Sharon Stanton, 1986. "Remittances from international migration: A review in perspective," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 677-696, June.
    14. Hajer Kratou & Kaouthar Gazdar, 2016. "Addressing the effect of workers’ remittance on economic growth: evidence from MENA countries," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 43(1), pages 51-70, January.
    15. Nyamongo, Esman Morekwa & Misati, Roseline N. & Kipyegon, Leonard & Ndirangu, Lydia, 2012. "Remittances, financial development and economic growth in Africa," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 64(3), pages 240-260.
    16. Simon Feeny & Sasi Iamsiraroj & Mark McGillivray, 2014. "Remittances and Economic Growth: Larger Impacts in Smaller Countries?," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(8), pages 1055-1066, August.
    17. Giulia Bettin & Alberto Zazzaro, 2012. "Remittances And Financial Development: Substitutes Or Complements In Economic Growth?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(4), pages 509-536, October.
    18. B. Gabriela Mundaca, 2009. "Remittances, Financial Market Development, and Economic Growth: The Case of Latin America and the Caribbean," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(2), pages 288-303, May.
    19. Mathew Ekundayo Rotimi & Ojo Joseph IseOlorunkanmi & Gift Grace Rotimi & Mishelle Doorasamy, 2021. "Re-examining corruption and economic growth nexus in oil dependent economy: Nigeria’s case," Journal of Money Laundering Control, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 25(3), pages 526-539, July.
    20. Bichaka Fayissa & Christian Nsiah, 2010. "Can Remittances Spur Economic Growth and Development? Evidence from Latin American Countries (LACs)," Working Papers 201006, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    21. Rao, B. Bhaskara & Hassan, Gazi Mainul, 2011. "A panel data analysis of the growth effects of remittances," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 701-709.
    22. Sebil Olalekan Oshota Abdulazeez Adeniyi Badejo, 2014. "The Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth in Nigeria: an Error Correction Modeling Approach," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 17(2), pages 21-43, November.
    23. Christopher P. Ball & Claude Lopez & Javier Reyes, 2013. "Remittances, Inflation and Exchange Rate Regimes in Small Open Economies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 487-507, April.
    24. Joseph Dery Nyeadi & Nuhu Yidana & Mohammed Imoro, 2014. "Remittances and Economic Growth Nexus: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria, Senegal and Togo," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(10), pages 158-172, October.
    25. Hajer Kratou & Kaouthar Gazdar, 2016. "Addressing the effect of workers’ remittance on economic growth: evidence from MENA countries," Post-Print halshs-01400524, HAL.
    26. Bosede Victoria Kudaisi & Titus Ayobami Ojeyinka & Tolulope Temilola Osinubi, 2021. "Financial liberalization, remittances and economic growth in Nigeria (1990–2018)," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(4), pages 562-580, March.
    27. Frimpong, Joseph Magnus & Oteng-Abayie, Eric Fosu, 2006. "Bivariate causality analysis between FDI inflows and economic growth in Ghana," MPRA Paper 351, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Oct 2006.
    28. Nyasha, Sheilla & Odhiambo, Nicholas M, 2019. "Remittances and economic growth : Empirical evidence from South Africa," Working Papers 25744, University of South Africa, Department of Economics.
    29. Maty Konte, 2018. "Do remittances not promote growth? A finite mixture-of-regressions approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 747-782, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Farroukh, Arafet & Mazioued, Manel & Pédussel Wu, Jennifer, 2024. "Revisiting the linkage between remittances inflow and economic growth: A semi-parametric estimation with panel data," IPE Working Papers 238/2024, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    2. Cazachevici, Alina & Havranek, Tomas & Horvath, Roman, 2019. "Remittances and Economic Growth: A Quantitative Survey," EconStor Preprints 205812, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Cazachevici, Alina & Havranek, Tomas & Horvath, Roman, 2020. "Remittances and economic growth: A meta-analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    4. Jude Eggoh & Chrysost Bangake & Gervasio Semedo, 2019. "Do remittances spur economic growth? Evidence from developing countries," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 391-418, May.
    5. D. O. Olayungbo & Ahmod Quadri, 2019. "Remittances, financial development and economic growth in sub-Saharan African countries: evidence from a PMG-ARDL approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-25, December.
    6. Debelo Bedada Yadeta & Fetene Bogale Hunegnaw, 2022. "Effect of International Remittance on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Ethiopia," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 383-402, June.
    7. Ziesemer, Thomas H.W., 2012. "Worker remittances, migration, accumulation and growth in poor developing countries: Survey and analysis of direct and indirect effects," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 103-118.
    8. Chrysost Bangake & Jude Eggoh, 2020. "Financial Development Thresholds and the Remittances-Growth Nexus," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(2), pages 425-445, June.
    9. Taiwo, Kayode, 2020. "Do remittances spur economic growth in Africa?," MPRA Paper 111029, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
    10. James Temitope Dada & Taiwo Akinlo, 2023. "Remittances-Finance-Growth Trilogy: Do Remittance And Financial Development Complement Or Substitute Each Other To Affect Growth In Nigeria?," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 68(236), pages 105-138, January –.
    11. Abida Zouheir & Imen Mohamed Sghaier, 2014. "Remittances, Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Case of North African Countries," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(51), pages 137-170, March.
    12. Konte M., 2014. "Do remittances not promote growth? : a bias-adjusted three-step mixture-of-regressions," MERIT Working Papers 2014-075, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    13. Sena Kimm Gnangnon, 2019. "Remittances Inflows and Trade Policy," Remittances Review, Remittances Review, vol. 4(2), pages 117-142, October.
    14. Miguel à ngel Mendoza González & Marcos Valdivia López, 2016. "Remesas, crecimiento y convergencia regional en México: aproximación con un modelo panel-espacial," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 31(1), pages 125-167.
    15. Sobiech, Izabela, 2019. "Remittances, finance and growth: Does financial development foster the impact of remittances on economic growth?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 44-59.
    16. Irfan Ahmad Shah, 2024. "The effect of remittances on the Indian economy," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 771-785, October.
    17. repec:dgr:unumer:2008063 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Shreya Pal, 2023. "Does Remittance and Human Capital Formation Affect Financial Development? A Comparative Analysis Between India and China," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(2), pages 387-426, June.
    19. Imen Mohamed Sghaier, 2021. "Remittances and Economic Growth in MENA Countries: The Role of Financial Development," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 1, pages 43-59, March.
    20. Ilham Haouas & Naceur Kheraief & Arusha Cooray & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2019. "Time-Varying Casual Nexuses Between Remittances and Financial Development in Some MENA Countries," Working Papers 1294, Economic Research Forum, revised 2019.
    21. Imad El Hamma, 2018. "Migrant Remittances and Economic Growth: The Role of Financial Development and Institutional Quality," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 503-504, pages 123-142.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Remittances; Per Capita; ARDL; Growth; Oil Dependent; Nigeria;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F24 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Remittances
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tei:journl:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:38-51. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kostas Stergidis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dbikagr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.