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Do Independent Central Banks Exhibit Varied Behaviour in Election and Non-Election Years?: The Case of Fiscal Policy in Africa

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  • Abel Mawuko Agoba
  • Joshua Yindenaba Abor
  • Kofi Achampong Osei
  • Jarjisu Sa-Aadu

Abstract

The study primarily investigates if the behavior and effectiveness of CBI on fiscal policy varies between non-election and election years. It also examines whether the effectiveness of CBI in improving fiscal performance is enhanced by higher institutional quality. Using recent CBI data f on 48 African countries, 90 other developing countries and 40 developed countries over the period 1970–2012, we apply a two-stage system GMM with Windmeijer small sample robust correction estimator and find that due to the strong incentives of political authorities to influence economic outcomes in election years, CBI has stronger effects on fiscal performance in election years compared to non-election years in developed countries only. However, given higher levels of institutional quality, CBI has stronger effects on fiscal performance in election years compared to non-election years in Africa and other developing countries also.

Suggested Citation

  • Abel Mawuko Agoba & Joshua Yindenaba Abor & Kofi Achampong Osei & Jarjisu Sa-Aadu, 2020. "Do Independent Central Banks Exhibit Varied Behaviour in Election and Non-Election Years?: The Case of Fiscal Policy in Africa," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 105-125, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:wjabxx:v:21:y:2020:i:1:p:105-125
    DOI: 10.1080/15228916.2019.1584263
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    Cited by:

    1. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Remittances and value added across economic sub-sectors in Sub-Saharan Africa," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 23-41, February.
    2. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2020. "Finance, governance and inclusive education in Sub-Saharan Africa," Social Responsibility Journal, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 17(8), pages 1044-1061, July.
    3. Simplice A. Asongu & Joseph Nnanna & Paul N. Acha-Anyi, 2021. "The Openness Hypothesis in the Context of Economic Development in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Moderating Role of Trade Dynamics on FDI," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 336-359, July.
    4. Ofori-Sasu, Daniel & Agbloyor, Elikplimi Komla & Nsafoah, Dennis & Asongu, Simplice A., 2024. "Banking behaviour and political business cycle in Africa: The role of independent regulatory policies of the central bank," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    5. Simplice A. Asongu & Mushfiqur Rahman & Mohammad Alghababsheh, 2022. "Information Technology, Business Sustainability and Female Economic Participation in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers 22/057, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    6. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2023. "Foreign Direct Investment, Information Technology, And Total Factor Productivity Dynamics In Sub‐Saharan Africa," World Affairs, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 186(2), pages 469-506, June.
    7. Bayale, Nimonka & Tchagnao, Abdou-Fataou & Chavula, Hopestone Kayiska, 2020. "More elections, more burden? On the relationship between elections and public debt in Africa," MPRA Paper 101744, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Simplice A. Asongu & Paul N. Acha-Anyi, 2020. "Enhancing ICT for productivity in sub-Saharan Africa: Thresholds for complementary policies," African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(7), pages 831-845, November.
    9. Simplice A. Asongu & Mushfiqur Rahman & Joseph Nnanna & Mohamed Haffar, 2020. "Enhancing Information Technology for Value Added Across Economic Sectors in Sub-Saharan Africa," Research Africa Network Working Papers 20/064, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    10. Simplice A. Asongu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2023. "Military Expenditure, Policy Syndromes and Tourism in the World," Working Papers 23/027, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    11. Simplice A. Asongu & Joseph Nnanna & Paul N. Acha-Anyi, 2020. "On the simultaneous openness hypothesis: FDI, trade and TFP dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, December.
    12. Asongu, Simplice A. & Rahman, Mushfiqur & Nnanna, Joseph & Haffar, Mohamed, 2020. "Enhancing information technology for value added across economic sectors in Sub-Saharan Africa✰," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).

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