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The Economic Impact of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership on Saskatchewan: A Subnational Computable General Equilibrium-Based Analysis

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  • Ziad Ghaith
  • Suren Kulshreshtha
  • David Natcher

Abstract

This study assesses the likely economic impact of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) on Saskatchewan’s (a Canadian province) economy in 2030 by building a subnational computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The approach was based on splitting Canada into two regions: Saskatchewan and the Rest of Canada (RoC). Saskatchewan was treated as a separate trading entity with interprovincial and international trade flows. Saskatchewan exports were estimated to increase by 0.81% but imports to increase by 1.75% under the CPTPP. The analysis showed evidence that trade agreements may have different impacts on regions within a country.

Suggested Citation

  • Ziad Ghaith & Suren Kulshreshtha & David Natcher, 2024. "The Economic Impact of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership on Saskatchewan: A Subnational Computable General Equilibrium-Based Analysis," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 429-444, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:uitjxx:v:38:y:2024:i:5:p:429-444
    DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2022.2149639
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