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The J-Curve: Evidence from Industry-Level Data Between the U.S. and Indonesia

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Hanafiah Harvey

Abstract

Empirical studies on the impact of currency devaluation or depreciation on the trade balance still continue to occupy the literature. These studies have evolved from using aggregate to disaggregated data. The findings, however, have been mixed. Previous research using aggregate trade flows of Indonesia with the rest of the world or bilateral data between Indonesia and the U.S. as one of its major trading partners found no significant relation between rupiah-dollar rate and Indonesia's bilateral trade balances. In this article, we disaggregate the trade flows between Indonesia and the U.S. by commodity and show that the trade balances of at least nine out of 23 industries react to exchange rate changes favorably in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2015. "The J-Curve: Evidence from Industry-Level Data Between the U.S. and Indonesia," The International Trade Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 103-114, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:uitjxx:v:29:y:2015:i:2:p:103-114
    DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2015.1005779
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    Cited by:

    1. Wei Sun & Kuhelika De, 2019. "Real Exchange Rate, Monetary Policy, And The U.S. Economy: Evidence From A Favar Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(1), pages 552-568, January.
    2. Usman, Ahmed & Ozturk, Ilhan & Ullah, Sana & Hassan, Ali, 2021. "Does ICT have symmetric or asymmetric effects on CO2 emissions? Evidence from selected Asian economies," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

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