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Flight schedule punctuality control and management: a stochastic approach

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  • Cheng-Lung Wu
  • Robert E. Caves

Abstract

The insufficiency of infrastructure capacity in an air transport system is usually blamed for poor punctuality performance when implementing flight schedules. However, investigations have revealed that ground operations of airlines have become the second major cause of flight delay at airports. A stochastic approach is used in this paper to model the operation of aircraft turnaround and the departure punctuality of a turnaround aircraft at an airport. The aircraft turnaround model is then used to investigate the punctuality problem of turnaround aircraft. Model results reveal that the departure punctuality of a turnaround aircraft is influenced by the length of scheduled turnaround time, the arrival punctuality of inbound aircraft as well as the operational efficiency of aircraft ground services. The aircraft turnaround model proposed is then employed to evaluate the endogenous schedule punctuality of two turnaround aircraft. Model results, when compared with observation data, show that the operational efficiency of aircraft ground services varies among turnarounds. Hence, it is recommended that the improvement of departure punctuality of turnaround aircraft may be achieved from two approaches: airline scheduling control and the management of operational efficiency of aircraft ground services.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng-Lung Wu & Robert E. Caves, 2003. "Flight schedule punctuality control and management: a stochastic approach," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(4), pages 313-330, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:transp:v:26:y:2003:i:4:p:313-330
    DOI: 10.1080/03081060310001635869
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    Cited by:

    1. Rodríguez-Sanz, à lvaro & Fernández de Marcos, Alberto & Pérez-Castán, Javier A. & Comendador, Fernando Gómez & Arnaldo Valdés, Rosa & París Loreiro, à ngel, 2021. "Queue behavioural patterns for passengers at airport terminals: A machine learning approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Narciso, Mercedes E. & Piera, Miquel A., 2015. "Robust gate assignment procedures from an airport management perspective," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 82-95.
    3. Wu, Cheng-Lung, 2005. "Inherent delays and operational reliability of airline schedules," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 273-282.
    4. Mohammad-Reza Namazi-Rad & Michelle Dunbar & Hadi Ghaderi & Payam Mokhtarian, 2015. "Constrained Optimization of Average Arrival Time via a Probabilistic Approach to Transport Reliability," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(5), pages 1-15, May.

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