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Risk averse investment strategies for a private electricity generating company in a carbon constrained environment

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  • Esra Adıyeke
  • Ethem Çanakoğlu
  • Semra Ağralı

Abstract

We study a private electricity generating company that plans to enter a partially regulated market that operates under an active cap and trade system. There are different types of thermal and renewable power plants that the company considers to invest in over a predetermined planning horizon. Thermal power plants may include a carbon capture and storage technology in order to comply with the carbon limitations. We develop a time-consistent multi-stage stochastic optimization model for this investment problem, where the objective is to minimize the conditional value at risk (CV@R) of the net present value of the profit obtained through the planning horizon. We implement the model for a hypothetical generating company located in Turkey. The results show that the developed model is appropriate for determining risk averse investment strategies for a company that operates under carbon restricted market conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Esra Adıyeke & Ethem Çanakoğlu & Semra Ağralı, 2019. "Risk averse investment strategies for a private electricity generating company in a carbon constrained environment," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(12), pages 2056-2068, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:tjorxx:v:70:y:2019:i:12:p:2056-2068
    DOI: 10.1080/01605682.2018.1535265
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