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A spatial approach to baseline and leakage in CDM forest carbon sinks projects

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  • Michael Dutschke
  • Sonja Butzengeiger
  • Axel Michaelowa

Abstract

Forestry projects under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) face specific challenges with regard to determination of a baseline for carbon sequestration. We propose a semi-standardized approach called PARAPIA for calculation of a baseline that is built on the concept of a reference area around the project area whose land-use characteristics determine the baseline scenario. The land-use shares in the reference area are checked at each verification. Baseline carbon stocks are then derived ex post using the average carbon content of each land-use type. The reference area is between five and ten times larger than the project area. To determine indirect effects (the so-called 'leakage'), a political influence area such as province or state is assessed with regards to migration flows due to the project and related emissions.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Dutschke & Sonja Butzengeiger & Axel Michaelowa, 2005. "A spatial approach to baseline and leakage in CDM forest carbon sinks projects," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(5), pages 517-530, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:tcpoxx:v:5:y:2005:i:5:p:517-530
    DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2006.9685575
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