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Indirect impacts of coastal climate change and sea-level rise: the UK example

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  • Robert J. Nicholls
  • Abiy S. Kebede

Abstract

Owing to globalization, the potential impacts of climate change/sea-level rise in one country/region are likely to affect and be felt elsewhere. Such indirect impacts could be significant but have received a limited analysis. This deficiency is addressed here using the indirect impacts on coastal infrastructure for the UK as an example. National opportunities and threats are identified. Potential indirect national threats include disruption of supply chains, security threats due to forced migration, a decline in national prestige, and impacts on the finance and insurance industries. Potential opportunities include export of world-leading coastal hazard and management expertise, and benefits to national prestige conferred by a strong response to climate change. Such opportunities and threats depend on several distinct dimensions of change, especially the magnitude of climate and socio-economic change, and the success/failure of appropriate responses. Promoting adaptation and climate mitigation is important to exploit the opportunities and address the threats. Adaptation should deal with more than the effects of climate change and link to the wider development agenda. These lessons are transferable to other developed countries and, indeed, many of the actions will be strengthened by collective action. Policy relevance National-level measures to address these indirect impacts will make a positive contribution to the global effort in addressing climate change (e.g. supporting emissions reductions). Countries should include the indirect effects of climate change in national assessments so that the national context and useful responses can be identified. Cooperation between nations is also important; countries must act together to more effectively address the direct and indirect effects of climate change (e.g. promoting a widespread adaptation response). International initiatives (such as the Belmont Forum initiative on Coastal Vulnerability) should be promoted and global environmental change research shared (e.g. within multilateral institutions).

Suggested Citation

  • Robert J. Nicholls & Abiy S. Kebede, 2012. "Indirect impacts of coastal climate change and sea-level rise: the UK example," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(sup01), pages 28-52, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:tcpoxx:v:12:y:2012:i:sup01:p:s28-s52
    DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2012.728792
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Charlotte Benson & Edward J. Clay, 2004. "Understanding the Economic and Financial Impacts of Natural Disasters," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 15025.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nina Knittel & Martin W. Jury & Birgit Bednar-Friedl & Gabriel Bachner & Andrea K. Steiner, 2020. "A global analysis of heat-related labour productivity losses under climate change—implications for Germany’s foreign trade," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 251-269, May.
    2. Theodoros N. Chatzivasileiadis & Marjan W. Hofkes & Onno J. Kuik & Richard S.J. Tol, 2016. "Full economic impacts of sea level rise: loss of productive resources and transport disruptions," Working Paper Series 9916, Department of Economics, University of Sussex.
    3. Domicián Máté & Adam Novotny & Daniel Francois Meyer, 2021. "The Impact of Sustainability Goals on Productivity Growth: The Moderating Role of Global Warming," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-13, October.
    4. A. Kebede & R. Dunford & M. Mokrech & E. Audsley & P. Harrison & I. Holman & R. Nicholls & S. Rickebusch & M. Rounsevell & S. Sabaté & F. Sallaba & A. Sanchez & C. Savin & M. Trnka & F. Wimmer, 2015. "Direct and indirect impacts of climate and socio-economic change in Europe: a sensitivity analysis for key land- and water-based sectors," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 128(3), pages 261-277, February.
    5. Yi Yang & Beibei Liu & Peng Wang & Wei‐Qiang Chen & Timothy M. Smith, 2020. "Toward sustainable climate change adaptation," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(2), pages 318-330, April.
    6. Yves Hategekimana & Mona Allam & Qingyan Meng & Yueping Nie & Elhag Mohamed, 2020. "Quantification of Soil Losses along the Coastal Protected Areas in Kenya," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-16, May.
    7. Alexandria Soontiens-Olsen & Laurel Genge & Andrew Scott Medeiros & Georgia Klein & Shannon Lin & Lorn Sheehan, 2023. "Coastal Adaptation and Vulnerability Assessment in a Warming Future: A Systematic Review of the Tourism Sector," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, June.
    8. Sally Brown & Susan Hanson & Robert Nicholls, 2014. "Implications of sea-level rise and extreme events around Europe: a review of coastal energy infrastructure," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(1), pages 81-95, January.
    9. Juita-Elena (Wie) Yusuf & Katharine Neill & Burton St John III & Ivan K Ash & Kaitrin Mahar, 2016. "The sea is rising… but not onto the policy agenda: A multiple streams approach to understanding sea level rise policies," Environment and Planning C, , vol. 34(2), pages 228-243, March.
    10. E. F. Adam & S. Brown & R. J. Nicholls & M. Tsimplis, 2016. "A systematic assessment of maritime disruptions affecting UK ports, coastal areas and surrounding seas from 1950 to 2014," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(1), pages 691-713, August.

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