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Player Rotation, On-court Performance and Game Outcomes in NCAA Men’s Basketball

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  • C. Daniel Clay
  • E. Kylie Clay

Abstract

Coaches differ in in how they use the talents of their players and player rotation is among their most strategically important game management levers; some substitute sparingly while others routinely go to a deep bench. This research examines the impact of size of rotation on team performance and success among 7,154 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball team performances collected over multiple seasons. Study findings demonstrate that depth of player rotation has a significant positive effect on game outcomes and that the relationship is conditioned by number of personal fouls, overall team strength and home court advantage. The pathways through which a larger rotation results in greater odds of winning include offensive rebounding, steals and overall defensive efficiency, all areas where the fresh legs, quick hands and sustained energy levels characteristic of a deeper bench can make a measurable difference. Advantages of a smaller core rotation are manifested at the offensive end of the court, notably in shooting percentages, ball control and overall offensive ratings.

Suggested Citation

  • C. Daniel Clay & E. Kylie Clay, 2014. "Player Rotation, On-court Performance and Game Outcomes in NCAA Men’s Basketball," International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 606-619, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rpanxx:v:14:y:2014:i:2:p:606-619
    DOI: 10.1080/24748668.2014.11868746
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    Cited by:

    1. David Rösch & Florian Schultz & Oliver Höner, 2021. "Decision-Making Skills in Youth Basketball Players: Diagnostic and External Validation of a Video-Based Assessment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(5), pages 1-17, February.

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