IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/rjerxx/v37y2015i3p439-470.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Mortgage Modification and the Decision to Strategically Default: A Game Theoretic Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew J. Collins
  • David M. Harrison
  • Michael J. Seiler

Abstract

While numerous and varied opinions abound, there remains much confusion as to why relatively few mortgages are modified at a time when the demand to modify is historically high. To better understand this complex issue, we build a game theoretic model to quantify a number of economic incentives and costs surrounding critical dimensions of the lender's decision to modify a loan and the borrower's decision to strategically default in an attempt to encourage such a modification. We mathematically demonstrate that it is rarely economically rational for lenders to modify loans. For the borrower, we find that their negative equity position, growth rate in home prices, and the probability the lender will exercise its legal right to recourse represent the top three strategic default determinants.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew J. Collins & David M. Harrison & Michael J. Seiler, 2015. "Mortgage Modification and the Decision to Strategically Default: A Game Theoretic Approach," Journal of Real Estate Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 439-470, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rjerxx:v:37:y:2015:i:3:p:439-470
    DOI: 10.1080/10835547.2015.12091425
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/10835547.2015.12091425
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/10835547.2015.12091425?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Michael LaCour-Little & Zhenguo Lin & Wei Yu, 2020. "Assumable Financing Redux: A New Challenge for Appraisal?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 3-39, February.
    2. Asish Saha & Hock-Eam Lim & Goh-Yeok Siew, 2021. "Housing Loan Repayment Behaviour in Malaysia: An Analytical Insight," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 20(2), pages 1-19, September.
    3. Su Han Chan & Ko Wang & Jing Yang, 2016. "The Pricing of Construction Loans," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 19(4), pages 411-434.
    4. Jackson T. Anderson & David M. Harrison & Kimberly F. Luchtenberg & Michael J. Seiler, 2023. "Legal Versus Psychological Contracts: When Does a Mortgage Default Settlement Contract Become a Contract?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(2), pages 191-217, August.
    5. Lin, Zhenguo & Liu, Yingchun & Xie, Jia, 2024. "Market distortions with collusion of agents," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    6. Asish Saha & Hock-Eam Lim & Goh-Yeok Siew, 2021. "Housing Loan Repayment Behaviour in Malaysia: An Analytical Insight," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 20(2), pages 141-159, September.
    7. Yong-gui Fu & Jian-ming Zhu, 2018. "The credit game on network supplier and customer based on big data," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 605-627, September.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:rjerxx:v:37:y:2015:i:3:p:439-470. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/rjer20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.