IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/rjerxx/v36y2014i2p187-220.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The U.S. Housing Market and the Pricing of Risk: Fundamental Analysis and Market Sentiment

Author

Listed:
  • Changha Jin
  • Gökçe Soydemir
  • Alan Tidwell

Abstract

We explore the pricing patterns of the residential real estate market in the United States in the context of the recent housing bubble and subsequent deflation. We examine 10 consolidated metropolitan statistical areas and calculate excess residential market return per risk. Then, using an error correction model, we regress excess residential market return per risk on fundamental market risk factors from a range of demand- and supply-side variables together with a non-fundamental-based sentiment variable. Our long-run findings reveal that non-fundamental-based (irrational) consumer sentiment is a significant exogenous variable in the pricing pattern of U.S. residential real estate.

Suggested Citation

  • Changha Jin & Gökçe Soydemir & Alan Tidwell, 2014. "The U.S. Housing Market and the Pricing of Risk: Fundamental Analysis and Market Sentiment," Journal of Real Estate Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 187-220, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rjerxx:v:36:y:2014:i:2:p:187-220
    DOI: 10.1080/10835547.2014.12091390
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/10835547.2014.12091390
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/10835547.2014.12091390?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Enwei Zhu & Jing Wu & Hongyu Liu & Keyang Li, 2023. "A Sentiment Index of the Housing Market in China: Text Mining of Narratives on Social Media," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 77-118, January.
    2. Zhou, Zhengyi, 2018. "Housing market sentiment and intervention effectiveness: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 91-110.
    3. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric, 2021. "Housing price dynamics: The impact of stock market sentiment and the spillover effect," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 854-867.
    4. Helen X. H. Bao & Steven Haotong Li, 2016. "Overconfidence And Real Estate Research: A Survey Of The Literature," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 61(04), pages 1-24, September.
    5. Sergiy Saydometov & Sanjiv Sabherwal & Ramya Rajajagadeesan Aroul, 2020. "Sentiment and its asymmetric effect on housing returns," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 580-600, October.
    6. Shulin Shen & Yiyi Zhao & Jindong Pang, 2024. "Local Housing Market Sentiments and Returns: Evidence from China," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 68(3), pages 488-522, April.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:rjerxx:v:36:y:2014:i:2:p:187-220. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/rjer20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.