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Did capital controls decrease capital flows in Malaysia?

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  • Masahiro Inoguchi

Abstract

This article considers whether Malaysian capital controls were effective in reducing short-term capital flows, as the authorities intended. Although the controls began in September 1998, the effectiveness of Malaysian capital controls has not been demonstrated. This article analyzes the regressions using dummy variables and by constructing a profit rate differential index over the period of the changes in controls as an independent variable. These variables are composed of the profit rate differentials between Malaysia and the US and the levy on repatriation of profits after the introduction of the controls. This paper estimates the impact of the controls not only on gross capital flows but also on net capital flows in order to determine whether the controls were successful. The regression results suggest that gross and net capital flows were influenced by the introduction of the controls, and that they fluctuated because of changes in the controls. The net capital inflows continued to decrease after the controls were lifted. In addition, investors did not depend on the profit differential after the 12-month holding rule was replaced with the exit levy system. This indicates that the process of liberalizing and abolishing strict capital controls may encourage capital outflows.

Suggested Citation

  • Masahiro Inoguchi, 2009. "Did capital controls decrease capital flows in Malaysia?," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 27-48.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:rjapxx:v:14:y:2009:i:1:p:27-48
    DOI: 10.1080/13547860802661579
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kristin J. Forbes, 2004. "Capital Controls: Mud in the Wheels of Market Discipline," NBER Working Papers 10284, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Nicolas Magud & Carmen M. Reinhart, 2007. "Capital Controls: An Evaluation," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 645-674, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Sebastian Edwards, 2000. "Capital Flows, Real Exchange Rates, and Capital Controls: Some Latin American Experiences," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies: Theory, Evidence, and Controversies, pages 197-246, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Forbes, Kristin J., 2007. "One cost of the Chilean capital controls: Increased financial constraints for smaller traded firms," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 294-323, April.
    5. Ilan Goldfajn & André Minella, 2007. "Capital Flows and Controls in Brazil: What Have We Learned?," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 349-420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Reinhart, Carmen M. & Smith, R. Todd, 2002. "Temporary controls on capital inflows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 327-351, August.
    7. Kristin J. Forbes, 2007. "The Microeconomic Evidence on Capital Controls: No Free Lunch," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 171-202, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Ethan Kaplan & Dani Rodrik, 2002. "Did the Malaysian Capital Controls Work?," NBER Chapters, in: Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, pages 393-440, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Mihir A. Desai & C. Fritz Foley & James R. Hines, 2006. "Capital Controls, Liberalizations, and Foreign Direct Investment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(4), pages 1433-1464.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lean, Hooi Hooi & Smyth, Russell, 2010. "Multivariate Granger causality between electricity generation, exports, prices and GDP in Malaysia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 3640-3648.

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