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Revisiting the nexus between exchange rate, exports and economic growth: further evidence from Asia

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  • Wei Zhu
  • Fayyaz Ahmad
  • Muhammad Umar Draz
  • Ilhan Ozturk
  • Abdul Rehman

Abstract

The economic growth of developing countries has been associated with their exports, and the existing research suggests that exchange rates significantly influence the exports. This study used panel data to investigate the potential nexus of gross domestic product (GDP), exports and exchange rates in Asian countries over the period of 1981–2016. The results portray that nexus between exchange rate and exports holds true for Export-led Growth (ELG) and Growth-led Exports (GLE) hypotheses. This study used the Wald test under Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) with all necessary specifications tests to identify the possible nexus of variables, and applied the fixed effects model along with control variables. The results imply that an undervalued currency enhances exports and has a significant impact on economic growth. Additionally, the results of Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) model with financial crises dummy suggested that the estimations are robust. Keeping in view the aforementioned findings, a timely and balanced policy can play a pivotal role in improving the long term nexus of exchange rates, exports and economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei Zhu & Fayyaz Ahmad & Muhammad Umar Draz & Ilhan Ozturk & Abdul Rehman, 2022. "Revisiting the nexus between exchange rate, exports and economic growth: further evidence from Asia," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 7128-7146, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:reroxx:v:35:y:2022:i:1:p:7128-7146
    DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2022.2059692
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    Cited by:

    1. Erdem Bulut & Zaim Reha Yasar, 2023. "Determinants of Export Performance in Emerging Market Economies: New Evidence from a Panel Quantile Regression Model," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 73(73-1), pages 453-472, June.

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