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The inevitable role of bilateral relation: a fresh insight into the bitcoin market

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  • Meng Qin
  • Tong Wu
  • Ran Tao
  • Chi-Wei Su
  • Stefea Petru

Abstract

This paper clarifies the association between the Sino-U.S. bilateral relation (BR) and Bitcoin price (BCP) by applying the bootstrap full- and sub-sample Granger causality tests. It reveals that BR has positive and negative effects on BCP. The negative impact points out that Bitcoin is viewed as a tool to avoid uncertainties caused by the deterioration of BR, also proving that the strained relation between China and the U.S. can stimulate the Bitcoin market. However, this opinion is not held under a positive impact, the main explanation is that the burst of bubble weakens its ability to hedge risks. The above conclusion is not consistent with the theoretical model, underlining that the Bitcoin market is boosted by the deterioration of BR. Conversely, there is a negative influence from BCP to BR, meaning that the relationship between China and the U.S. can be reflected by the Bitcoin market. Under the complex and volatile international situation, investors can benefit from this investigation to compensate for the losses and keep their wealth. Also, it helps the related authorities to create a stable investment environment and promote friendly bilateral relations.

Suggested Citation

  • Meng Qin & Tong Wu & Ran Tao & Chi-Wei Su & Stefea Petru, 2022. "The inevitable role of bilateral relation: a fresh insight into the bitcoin market," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 4260-4279, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:reroxx:v:35:y:2022:i:1:p:4260-4279
    DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2021.2013269
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    Cited by:

    1. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Blockchain: A carbon-neutral facilitator or an environmental destroyer?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 604-615.
    2. Jing, Ruixue & Rocha, Luis E.C., 2023. "A network-based strategy of price correlations for optimal cryptocurrency portfolios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    3. Su, Chi Wei & Song, Xin Yue & Qin, Meng & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2024. "Is copper a safe haven for oil?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Su, Chi Wei & Shao, Xuefeng & Jia, Zhijie & Nepal, Rabindra & Umar, Muhammad & Qin, Meng, 2023. "The rise of green energy metal: Could lithium threaten the status of oil?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    5. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Manta, Alina Georgiana, 2023. "Are climate and geopolitics the challenges to sustainable development? Novel evidence from the global supply chain," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 748-763.

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