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Information transmission and hedging effectiveness for the pairs crude oil-gold and crude oil-Bitcoin during the COVID-19 outbreak

Author

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  • Imran Yousaf
  • Shoaib Ali
  • Elie Bouri
  • Tareq Saeed

Abstract

This study uses hourly data to analyse the return and volatility transmission of oil-gold and oil-Bitcoin pairs during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. The results show that the return transmissions vary across the two periods for both pairs. There is a unidirectional volatility spill-over from gold to oil in the pre-COVID-19 period, and from oil to gold during the COVID-19 period. There is a significant volatility spill-over from Bitcoin to oil during the pre-COVID-19 period, whereas no evidence of volatility spill-over between oil and Bitcoin is shown during the COVID-19 period. Based on optimal weights, investors should increase their investments in, (a) gold for a portfolio of oil-gold, and (b) Bitcoin for a portfolio of oil-Bitcoin during the COVID-19 period. All hedge ratios are higher during the COVID-19 period, implying a higher hedging cost compared to the pre-COVID-19 period. The results of hedging effectiveness reveal that the risk-adjusted returns can be improved by constructing a portfolio of oil-gold and oil-Bitcoin during both sample periods. Further results reveal that gold is a strong safe haven and a hedge for the oil market, while Bitcoin serves as a diversifier for the oil market during the COVID-19 period.

Suggested Citation

  • Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Elie Bouri & Tareq Saeed, 2022. "Information transmission and hedging effectiveness for the pairs crude oil-gold and crude oil-Bitcoin during the COVID-19 outbreak," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 1913-1934, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:reroxx:v:35:y:2022:i:1:p:1913-1934
    DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2021.1927787
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Farah Durani, 2024. "Time-varying Relationship between Fossil Fuel-Free Energy Indices and Economic Uncertainty: Global Evidence from Wavelet Coherence Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 663-672, January.
    2. Ha, Le Thanh & Bouteska, Ahmed & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & The Anh, Pham, 2023. "Fluctuations in gold prices in Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a time-varying parameter autoregression model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    3. Ustaoglu, Erkan, 2023. "Diversification, hedge, and safe-haven properties of gold and bitcoin with portfolio implications during the Russia–Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    4. Khan, Muhammad Asif & Khan, Farhad & Sharif, Arshian & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir, 2023. "Dynamic linkages between Islamic equity indices, oil prices, gold prices, and news-based uncertainty: New insights from partial and multiple wavelet coherence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Younis, Ijaz & Shah, Waheed Ullah & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Static and dynamic linkages between oil, gold and global equity markets in various crisis episodes: Evidence from the Wavelet TVP-VAR," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Bhatia, Madhur, 2023. "On the efficiency of the gold returns: An econometric exploration for India, USA and Brazil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    7. Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Rashidi, Muhammad Mahdi, 2023. "Do stochastic risks flow between industrial and precious metals, Islamic stocks, green bonds, green stocks, clean investments, major foreign exchange rates, and Bitcoin?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).

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