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Bilateral swap agreement and renminbi settlement in cross-border trade

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  • Ke Song
  • Le Xia

Abstract

This research empirically examines the impact of China’s renminbi (RMB) Bilateral Swap Agreements (BSAs) on the usage of the currency in cross-border trade transactions. By using a unique dataset from SWIFT including cross-border settlement messages of 91 countries/regions between October 2010 and November 2015, we confirm that the signing of an RMB BSA helps increase the number, value and proportion of the RMB settlement in cross-border trade. Our results are robust with respect to the choice of different models, including multi-level mixed model, two-stage regression model, and difference-in-difference model. In addition to justifying the effectiveness of China’s BSA-signing strategy to promote the RMB usage in trade settlement, our results clarify that the signing of those RMB BSAs is not purely for China’s political ends as some scholars claim.

Suggested Citation

  • Ke Song & Le Xia, 2020. "Bilateral swap agreement and renminbi settlement in cross-border trade," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 355-373, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:repsxx:v:8:y:2020:i:3:p:355-373
    DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2020.1780818
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    Cited by:

    1. Zucker Marques, Marina, 2021. "Financial statecraft and transaction costs: The case of renminbi internationalization," Discussion Papers 2021/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    2. Yin-Wong Cheung, 2023. "A decade of RMB internationalisation," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 47-74, January.
    3. He, Qing & Liu, Junyi & Zhang, Ce, 2021. "Exchange rate exposure and its determinants in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    4. Marina Zucker‐Marques & Pedro Perfeito da Silva, 2022. "The Role of Institutions: A Cross‐country Analysis of Renminbi Trading in Foreign Exchange Markets," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(3), pages 42-74, May.
    5. Zucker-Marques, Marina, 2025. "Currency Internationalization, payment infrastructures and central banks: An institutional analysis of renminbi internationalization," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
    6. Alina Iancu & Gareth Anderson & Sakai Ando & Ethan Boswell & Andrea Gamba & Shushanik Hakobyan & Lusine Lusinyan & Neil Meads & Yiqun Wu, 2022. "Reserve Currencies in an Evolving International Monetary System," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(5), pages 879-915, November.

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