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The Impact of Fiscal Rules on Fiscal Policy Volatility

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  • Michał Brzozowski
  • Joanna Siwińska-Gorzelak

Abstract

In this paper, we study the impact of fiscal rules, in the form of explicit deficit or debt constraints, on fiscal policy volatility. The main motivation behind this research is, on the one hand, a negative and robust correlation of fiscal policy volatility and long run growth documented in several papers and, on the other, the relatively small number of works that discuss possible determinants of the former. We argue that fiscal rules have a significant impact on fiscal policy volatility, but depending on the target of the rule—public debt or fiscal balance—rules will increase or decrease policy volatility. This result is novel, and, to the best of our knowledge, has not been discussed in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Michał Brzozowski & Joanna Siwińska-Gorzelak, 2010. "The Impact of Fiscal Rules on Fiscal Policy Volatility," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 205-231, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:recsxx:v:13:y:2010:i:2:p:205-231
    DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(10)60010-4
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jocelyne Zoumenou, 2023. "On the impact of fiscal policy on inflation: The case of fiscal rules," EconomiX Working Papers 2023-21, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    2. Pierre Mandon, 2014. "Evaluating Treatment Effect and Causal Effect of Fiscal Rules on Procyclicality New assessments on old debate: rules vs. discretion," CERDI Working papers halshs-01015756, HAL.
    3. Adam Pigoń & Michał Ramsza, 2022. "A Comparison of German, Swiss, and Polish Fiscal Rules Using Monte Carlo Simulations," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 17-41.
    4. Siwińska-Gorzelak, Joanna, 2024. "The impact of fiscal rules on cross-border bank claims," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Pierre Mandon, 2014. "Evaluating Treatment Effect and Causal Effect of Fiscal Rules on Procyclicality New assessments on old debate: rules vs. discretion," CERDI Working papers halshs-01015760, HAL.
    6. Soyoung Park & Sungchan Kim, 2022. "The Effects of Fiscal Rules Based on Revenue Structure: Evidence from U.S State Governments," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 39(3), pages 763-781, October.
    7. Rafał Chmura, 2023. "Stabilizing, neutral or destabilizing? The impact of fiscal rules on the GDP volatility in the EU countries," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(5), pages 475-498.
    8. Krige Siebrits & Estian Calitz, 2023. "Fiscal anchors and sustainable fiscal policy," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-98, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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