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Seasonality matters: simulating the impacts of climate change on winter tourism demand

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  • Robert Steiger
  • Eva Posch
  • Gottfried Tappeiner
  • Janette Walde

Abstract

Climate change represents a serious challenge for winter tourism. Its economic and managerial impacts will differ between season periods due to the seasonality of snow availability and tourism demand. Therefore, the interaction of these two types of seasonality has to be modelled. With a novel approach including seasonality of demand, timing of marginal snow conditions, individual preferences and skiing frequency, we simulate impacts of altered snow conditions on skiing demand with data from a discrete choice experiment (n = 1312) conducted in Austria. Snow conditions explain 41% of overall importance of ski area attributes. Distinct patterns of seasonal skiing demand exist that differ with respect to individual skiing days and preferences. Identical snow conditions occurring in different season periods cause demand declines that differ by a factor of 20. The presented construction kit allows investigating economic impacts in combination with different climate change scenarios for weather dependent forms of tourism.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Steiger & Eva Posch & Gottfried Tappeiner & Janette Walde, 2023. "Seasonality matters: simulating the impacts of climate change on winter tourism demand," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(17), pages 2777-2793, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rcitxx:v:26:y:2023:i:17:p:2777-2793
    DOI: 10.1080/13683500.2022.2097861
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    Cited by:

    1. Branko Protić & Bogdan Lukić & Vladimir Popović & Dušan Ristić & Velimir Šećerov & Marija R. Jeftić & Dejan S. Đorđević & Bojan Vračarević, 2024. "Balancing Act: Assessing the Impacts of Winter Tourism on Natural Heritage in Kopaonik National Park and Charting a Sustainable Path Forward," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-30, February.
    2. Kun Sun & Xiaoli Tian & Jing Xia & Mian Ou & Chengcai Tang, 2023. "The Market Responses of Ice and Snow Destinations to Southerners’ Tourism Willingness: A Case Study from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-22, September.

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