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What Drives Indirect Land Use Change? How Brazil's Agriculture Sector Influences Frontier Deforestation

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  • Peter Richards

Abstract

From 2000 to 2005, high returns from soybeans set off an unprecedented expansion of agricultural production across Brazil. The expansion occurred concurrently with a sharp rise in deforestation, leading academics and policymakers to question the extent and means by which the growing agricultural sector was driving regional forest loss. In this article, I consider and question the underlying drivers of indirect land use change, namely the potential impact of soybean expansion on beef prices and of land use displacement, via migration. I then present field-level results documenting the displacement process in Mato Grosso and Pará States of the Amazon. These results question the extent to which tropical Amazon deforestation is attributable to land use displacement; however, I argue that the agricultural sector could drive deforestation through other channels, namely through regional land markets.

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  • Peter Richards, 2015. "What Drives Indirect Land Use Change? How Brazil's Agriculture Sector Influences Frontier Deforestation," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 105(5), pages 1026-1040, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:raagxx:v:105:y:2015:i:5:p:1026-1040
    DOI: 10.1080/00045608.2015.1060924
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Barbier, Edward B., 2020. "Long run agricultural land expansion, booms and busts," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    2. Dou, Yue & Silva, Ramon Felipe Bicudo da & Batistella, Mateus & Torres, Sara & Moran, Emilio & Liu, Jianguo, 2023. "Mapping crop producer perceptions: The role of global drivers on local agricultural land use in Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Shinde, Nilesh N. & Do Valle, Stella Z. Schons & Maia, Alexandre Gori & Amacher, Gregory S., 2022. "Can an environmental policy contribute to the reduction of land conflict? Evidence from the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) in the Brazilian Amazon," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322584, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Mullan, Katrina & Caviglia-Harris, Jill L. & Sills, Erin O., 2021. "Sustainability of agricultural production following deforestation in the tropics: Evidence on the value of newly-deforested, long-deforested and forested land in the Brazilian Amazon," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    5. Daniella Tiemi Sasaki Okida & Osmar Abílio de Carvalho Júnior & Osmar Luiz Ferreira de Carvalho & Roberto Arnaldo Trancoso Gomes & Renato Fontes Guimarães, 2021. "Relationship between Land Property Security and Brazilian Amazon Deforestation in the Mato Grosso State during the Period 2013–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-20, February.
    6. Ermgassen, Erasmus Klaus Helge Justus zu & Ayre, Ben & Godar, Javier & Bastos Lima, Mairon G. & Bauch, Simone & Garrett, Rachael & Green, Jonathan & Lathuillière, Michael J & Löfgren, Pernilla & MacFa, 2019. "Using supply chain data to monitor zero deforestation commitments: an assessment of progress in the Brazilian soy sector," AgriXiv xb3nk, Center for Open Science.
    7. Damm, Yannic Rudá & Börner, Jan & Gerber, Nicolas, 2021. "Health Effects of the Amazon Soy Moratorium," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315401, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Edward B. Barbier, 2022. "The Policy Implications of the Dasgupta Review: Land Use Change and Biodiversity," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 83(4), pages 911-935, December.
    9. Michelle C. A. Picoli & Ana Rorato & Pedro Leitão & Gilberto Camara & Adeline Maciel & Patrick Hostert & Ieda Del’Arco Sanches, 2020. "Impacts of Public and Private Sector Policies on Soybean and Pasture Expansion in Mato Grosso—Brazil from 2001 to 2017," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, January.
    10. Peter Richards, 2018. "It’s not just where you farm; it’s whether your neighbor does too. How agglomeration economies are shaping new agricultural landscapes," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 87-110.
    11. Barbier, Edward B., 2020. "Is green rural transformation possible in developing countries?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    12. Adeline M. Maciel & Michelle C. A. Picoli & Lubia Vinhas & Gilberto Camara, 2020. "Identifying Land Use Change Trajectories in Brazil’s Agricultural Frontier," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-16, December.

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