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The effect of real exchange rate uncertainty on Turkey’s foreign trade: new evidences from SVAR model

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  • Nezir Köse
  • Çağlayan Aslan

Abstract

In this study, the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and Turkey’s foreign trade performance is analyzed using monthly data from 2002:01 to 2017:12 via Structural VAR (SVAR) model. The empirical results indicate that domestic income and import have more impact on Turkey’s export. Moreover, domestic income, exchange rate and exchange rate uncertainty are effective on Turkey’s import. These results imply that Turkey’s export is dependent on imported inputs more than the exchange rate and exchange rate uncertainties.

Suggested Citation

  • Nezir Köse & Çağlayan Aslan, 2023. "The effect of real exchange rate uncertainty on Turkey’s foreign trade: new evidences from SVAR model," Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 553-567, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:raaexx:v:30:y:2023:i:2:p:553-567
    DOI: 10.1080/16081625.2020.1808798
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    Cited by:

    1. Ferdi Akpilic & Caglayan Aslan, 2024. "The impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on exports by technology classification in emerging economies," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 907-931, October.
    2. Köse Nezir & Ünal Emre, 2024. "The Roles of the Terms of Trade and the Real Exchange Rate in the Current Account Balance," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 1-24.

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