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Market consistent bid-ask option pricing under Dempster-Shafer uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • A. Cinfrignini
  • D. Petturiti
  • B. Vantaggi

Abstract

We refer to the discrete-time market model under ambiguity introduced in [Cinfrignini, A., Petturiti, D. and Vantaggi, B., Dynamic bid–ask pricing under Dempster-Shafer uncertainty. J. Math. Econ., 2023a, 107, 102871], formed by a frictionless risk-free bond and a non-dividend paying stock with bid-ask spread. For a European derivative, we generalize the classical binomial pricing formula by allowing for bid-ask prices and investigate the properties of the ensuing replicating strategies. Next, for an American derivative, we propose a backward bid-ask pricing procedure and prove that the resulting discounted price processes are the bid-ask Choquet-Snell envelopes of the discounted payoff process, respectively. Moreover, for an American call option, we prove a generalization of the well-known Merton's theorem [Merton, R.C., Theory of rational option pricing. Bell J. Econ. Manage. Sci., 1973, 4, 141–183] holding for both the bid and the ask price processes. Finally, we introduce a market consistent calibration procedure and show the use of the calibrated model in bid-ask option pricing.

Suggested Citation

  • A. Cinfrignini & D. Petturiti & B. Vantaggi, 2025. "Market consistent bid-ask option pricing under Dempster-Shafer uncertainty," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 249-268, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:25:y:2025:i:2:p:249-268
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2024.2353318
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