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Chinese Competition and Brazilian Exports of Manufactures

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  • Rhys Jenkins

Abstract

In recent years concerns have been raised over the impact of Chinese competition on Latin American exports, particularly those from Mexico. This article shows that Brazilian manufactured exports too have been negatively affected, and that this has been reflected in the "primarization" of Brazilian exports and a declining share in the import markets of its major customers. A variety of different indicators were used to analyse the extent to which Brazilian exports have faced competition from China. Constant Market Share analysis was then applied to estimate the quantitative significance of Chinese competition for Brazilian exports. This shows that Brazil has lost markets to China in the USA, in the EU and in its major Latin American markets, particularly since 2004. This has occurred not only in low-technology products but also increasingly in high-technology products, and Brazil has not been able to compensate for losses to China through increasing exports of more sophisticated products. It was also found that Chinese competition intensified in the Latin American market following the global financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Rhys Jenkins, 2014. "Chinese Competition and Brazilian Exports of Manufactures," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 395-418, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oxdevs:v:42:y:2014:i:3:p:395-418
    DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2014.881989
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    1. Dos Santos, Enestor & Zignago, Soledad, 2012. "The Emergence of China and the Evolution of International Trade in Brazil," Revista Integración y Comercio (Integration and Trade Journal), Inter-American Development Bank, INTAL, vol. 35(16), pages 83-102.
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    Cited by:

    1. Larry D. Qiu & Chaoqun Zhan, 2016. "Special Section: China's Growing Trade and its Role to the World Economy," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(1), pages 45-71, February.
    2. Yue Lin, 2018. "Post-crisis China impact on trade integration and manufacturing competitiveness between Argentina and Brazil," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 147-170, April.
    3. Cunha, André Moreira & Lélis, Marcos Tadeu Caputi & Haines, Andrés Ernesto Ferrari & Franke, Luciane, 2023. "Exports of manufactured goods and structural change: Brazil in the face of Chinese competition," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 1-12.
    4. Urdinez Francisco & Burian Camilo López & de Oliveira Amâncio Jorge, 2016. "MERCOSUR and the Brazilian Leadership Challenge in the Era of Chinese Growth: A Uruguayan Foreign Policy Perspective," New Global Studies, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, April.
    5. Bredow, Sabrina Monique Schenato & Cunha, André Moreira & Lélis, Marcos Tadeo Caputi, 2022. "Effects of higher commodity prices on exports of manufactures: the case of Brazil," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    6. Torreggiani, Sofia & Andreoni, Antonio, 2023. "Rising to the challenge or perish? Chinese import penetration and its impact on growth dynamics of manufacturing firms in South Africa," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 199-212.
    7. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Rodrigo da Silva Souza, 2018. "Chinese resource demand or commodity price shocks: Macroeconomic effects for an emerging market economy," CAMA Working Papers 2018-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    8. Welslau, Lennard & Artecona, Raquel & Perrotti, Daniel E., 2022. "China and Latin America and the Caribbean: Exports competition in the United States market," Studies and Perspectives – ECLAC Office in Washington 48356, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    9. Asada, Raphael & Stern, Tobias, 2018. "Competitive Bioeconomy? Comparing Bio-based and Non-bio-based Primary Sectors of the World," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 120-128.

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