IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/oaefxx/v7y2019i1p1568656.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of external debt and exchange rate volatility on domestic consumption. New evidence from Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Ameet Kumar
  • Niaz Ahmed Bhutto
  • Khalid Ahmed Mangrio
  • Muhammad Ramzan Kalhoro

Abstract

This study has examined the impact of external debt and the volatility of exchange rate on domestic consumption in Pakistan by using the yearly data (1980–2014). We apply the bounds testing approach to cointegration and error-correction modeling to check their short run and long-run impact on the domestic consumption. The findings of this study has contributed to the existing literature in two ways: bound test results show that income, interest rate, exchange rate, volatility of exchange rate, and external debt have long-term relationship with domestic consumption and income, interest rate and exchange rate have positive impact whereas exchange rate volatility and external debt have negative impact on domestic consumption in the short run as well as in long run. Moreover, the coefficient of ECMt-1 is significantly negative and it shows that adjustment toward equilibrium from short run to long run takes more than half a year. Consumption is the major component of GDP so policymakers use its determinants to fine-tune the economy. This study proposes that policymakers should consider external debt and exchange rate volatility in devising the monetary policy of Pakistan.

Suggested Citation

  • Ameet Kumar & Niaz Ahmed Bhutto & Khalid Ahmed Mangrio & Muhammad Ramzan Kalhoro, 2019. "Impact of external debt and exchange rate volatility on domestic consumption. New evidence from Pakistan," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1568656-156, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:7:y:2019:i:1:p:1568656
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2019.1568656
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/23322039.2019.1568656
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/23322039.2019.1568656?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Salah Eddine Salhi & Sara El Aboudi, 2021. "Inflation, External Debt, and Fiscal Mobilization in Morocco: The Transmission Channels of Devaluation and the Inflationary Past," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(7), pages 545-562.
    2. Okwu, Andy & Akpa, Emeka & Oseni, Isiaq & Obiakor, Rowland, 2020. "Oil Export Revenue and Exchange Rate: An Investigation of Asymmetric Effects on Households’ Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 102080, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Salah Eddine Salhi & Sara El Aboudi, 2021. "Inflation, External Debt, and Fiscal Mobilization in Morocco: The Transmission Channels of Devaluation and the Inflationary Past," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(7), pages 545-562, July.
    4. Emmanuel Uche & Bisharat Hussain Chang & Lionel Effiom, 2023. "Household consumption and exchange rate extreme dynamics: Multiple asymmetric threshold non‐linear autoregressive distributed lag model perspective," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3437-3450, July.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:7:y:2019:i:1:p:1568656. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/OAEF20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.