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Testing Wagner's Law in India: A cointegration and causality analysis

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  • Kirandeep Kaur
  • Umme Afifa

Abstract

The present study empirically analyzes the validity of Wagner's Law for Indian economy. With the use of annual time series data from 1970–71 to 2013–14, all the six versions of Wagner's Law have been analyzed to test the relationship between government expenditure and gross domestic product. Wagner's Law states that the economic growth is the causative factor of the growth of the public expenditure. The study applied the unit root test and cointegration test to find the long-run relationship between government expenditure and gross domestic product. The present study employed the various econometric techniques such as unit root test, cointegration, and causality analysis for empirical analysis. The empirical analysis under study inferred mixed results of Wagner's Law for Indian economy, where four versions, namely Peacock, Gupta, Guffman, and Musgrave, found valid for Indian economy. The study concluded that the Wagner's Law is valid for the Indian economy except the Pryor and Mann Versions of the Wagner's Law.

Suggested Citation

  • Kirandeep Kaur & Umme Afifa, 2017. "Testing Wagner's Law in India: A cointegration and causality analysis," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(17), pages 8510-8520, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:lstaxx:v:46:y:2017:i:17:p:8510-8520
    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2016.1183788
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    Cited by:

    1. Nayak, Dinesh Kumar & Hazarika, Bhabesh, 2022. "Linkage between Income and Government Expenditure at Indian Sub-nationals: A Second Generation Panel Co-integration Techniques," Working Papers 22/374, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    2. Philip Arestis & Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya, 2021. "On the linkage between government expenditure and output: empirics of the Keynesian view versus Wagner’s law," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 265-303, May.
    3. Udi Joshua, 2019. "An ARDL Approach to the Government Expenditure and Economic Growth Nexus in Nigeria," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(3), pages 152-160, September.

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