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Modeling Interval Time Series with Space–Time Processes

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  • Paulo Teles
  • Paula Brito

Abstract

We consider interval-valued time series, that is, series resulting from collecting real intervals as an ordered sequence through time. Since the lower and upper bounds of the observed intervals at each time point are in fact values of the same variable, they are naturally related. We propose modeling interval time series with space–time autoregressive models and, based on the process appropriate for the interval bounds, we derive the model for the intervals’ center and radius. A simulation study and an application with data of daily wind speed at different meteorological stations in Ireland illustrate that the proposed approach is appropriate and useful.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulo Teles & Paula Brito, 2015. "Modeling Interval Time Series with Space–Time Processes," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(17), pages 3599-3627, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:lstaxx:v:44:y:2015:i:17:p:3599-3627
    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2013.782200
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    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Yuying & Zhang, Xinyu & Wan, Alan T.K. & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "Model averaging for interval-valued data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 772-784.
    2. Piao Wang & Shahid Hussain Gurmani & Zhifu Tao & Jinpei Liu & Huayou Chen, 2024. "Interval time series forecasting: A systematic literature review," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 249-285, March.
    3. M. Rosário Oliveira & Margarida Azeitona & António Pacheco & Rui Valadas, 2022. "Association measures for interval variables," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 16(3), pages 491-520, September.
    4. Samadi, S. Yaser & Billard, Lynne, 2021. "Analysis of dependent data aggregated into intervals," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    5. Liang-Ching Lin & Hsiang-Lin Chien & Sangyeol Lee, 2021. "Symbolic interval-valued data analysis for time series based on auto-interval-regressive models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 30(1), pages 295-315, March.

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