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Climate change events and stock market returns

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  • Yevheniia Antoniuk
  • Thomas Leirvik

Abstract

Using an event study methodology, we investigate how unexpected political events affect climate-sensitive sectors. We find that events related to climate change policy have significantly impacted returns. The clean energy sector benefitted from the Paris Agreement, Climategate, and Fukushima since these events increased climate change awareness and favor toward policies related to reducing the impact of climate change. For the utilities, energy-intensive, and transport sectors, these events imply increased transition-related political and market risks, which should be compensated. Events weakening climate change policy are associated with positive abnormal returns for the fossil energy sector. We further find that stock market investors are quick to adapt to new information related to climate change. Policymakers should be aware of such events' impact on the stock market because the investors are likely to price in both climate risk and expectation about sectors' growth.

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  • Yevheniia Antoniuk & Thomas Leirvik, 2024. "Climate change events and stock market returns," Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 42-67, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jsustf:v:14:y:2024:i:1:p:42-67
    DOI: 10.1080/20430795.2021.1929804
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    Cited by:

    1. Chia‐Hsien Tang & Yen‐Hsien Lee & Hung‐Chun Liu & Guan‐Gzhe Zeng, 2024. "Exploring the unpredictable nature of climate policy uncertainty: An empirical analysis of its impact on commodity futures returns in the United States," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1277-1292, July.
    2. Chatjuthamard, Pattanaporn & Singh, Simran & Jiraporn, Pornsit & Lee, Sang Mook, 2024. "Climate change exposure, shareholder wealth, and the adoption of the Paris agreement: A text-based approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    3. Fischer, Lion & Rapp, Marc Steffen & Zahner, Johannes, 2024. "Central banks sowing the seeds for a green financial sector? NGFS membership and market reactions," IMFS Working Paper Series 198, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).

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