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Instrument Validity Tests With Causal Forests

Author

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  • Helmut Farbmacher
  • Raphael Guber
  • Sven Klaassen

Abstract

Assumptions that are sufficient to identify local average treatment effects (LATEs) generate necessary conditions that allow instrument validity to be refuted. The degree to which instrument validity is violated, however, probably varies across subpopulations. In this article, we use causal forests to search and test for such local violations of the LATE assumptions in a data-driven way. Unlike previous instrument validity tests, our procedure is able to detect local violations. We evaluate the performance of our procedure in simulations and apply it in two different settings: parental preferences for mixed-sex composition of children and the Vietnam draft lottery.

Suggested Citation

  • Helmut Farbmacher & Raphael Guber & Sven Klaassen, 2022. "Instrument Validity Tests With Causal Forests," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 605-614, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:40:y:2022:i:2:p:605-614
    DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2020.1847122
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Carr & Toru Kitagawa, 2021. "Testing Instrument Validity with Covariates," Papers 2112.08092, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    2. Nadja van 't Hoff, 2023. "Identifying Causal Effects of Discrete, Ordered and ContinuousTreatments using Multiple Instrumental Variables," Papers 2311.17575, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    3. Kugler, Philipp & Biewen, Martin, 2020. "Two-Stage Least Squares Random Forests with a Replication of Angrist and Evans (1998)," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224538, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Biewen, Martin & Kugler, Philipp, 2021. "Two-stage least squares random forests with an application to Angrist and Evans (1998)," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    5. Bhuller, Manudeep & Sigstad, Henrik, 2024. "2SLS with multiple treatments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
    6. Eibich, Peter, 2023. "Instrumental variable estimates of the burden of parental caregiving," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    7. Philipp Bach & Victor Chernozhukov & Malte S. Kurz & Martin Spindler & Sven Klaassen, 2021. "DoubleML -- An Object-Oriented Implementation of Double Machine Learning in R," Papers 2103.09603, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.

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