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Investigating exchange rate shocks on agricultural trade balance: The case of Tunisia

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  • Houssem Eddine Chebbi
  • Marcelo Olarreaga

Abstract

The paper studies the impact of changes in Tunisia's exchange rate on the net external position of the agricultural sector. It shows that substitutability on production and consumption among domestically produced goods leads to an ambiguous impact for reasons that go beyond the Marshall-Lerner condition. Using cointegration techniques to disentangle the long and short-run impact of changes in the exchange rate on the net agricultural trade balance, we find that the depreciation of the domestic currency leads to a deterioration of the net external position of Tunisia's agricultural sector in the long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Houssem Eddine Chebbi & Marcelo Olarreaga, 2019. "Investigating exchange rate shocks on agricultural trade balance: The case of Tunisia," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 628-647, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:28:y:2019:i:5:p:628-647
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2019.1572774
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    Cited by:

    1. Trofimov, Ivan D., 2020. "The J-curve Effect in Agricultural Commodity Trade: An Empirical Study of South East Asian Economies," MPRA Paper 106701, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Tiblets Nguse & Betgilu Oshora & Maria Fekete-Farkas & Anita Tangl & Goshu Desalegn, 2021. "Does the Exchange Rate and Its Volatility Matter for International Trade in Ethiopia?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-18, December.

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