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Economic growth, trade and capital flows: A causal analysis of post-liberalised South Africa

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  • Sean J. Gossel
  • Nicholas Biekpe

Abstract

Development Finance and EconometricsThis paper investigates the causal relationships between trade, capital inflows and economic growth in post-liberalised South Africa over the period from 1995 to 2011. The results show that economic growth in South Africa is driven primarily by trade and fixed investment rather than by capital inflows. However, the relationship between economic growth and imports is bidirectional, and thus economic growth in South Africa is associated to a greater extent with the export-led growth hypothesis than the import-led growth hypothesis. In addition, the results find in favour of growth-led FDI rather than FDI-led growth, and that portfolio inflows rather than FDI are integrated into the country's trade-led growth dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Sean J. Gossel & Nicholas Biekpe, 2014. "Economic growth, trade and capital flows: A causal analysis of post-liberalised South Africa," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(6), pages 815-836, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:23:y:2014:i:6:p:815-836
    DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2013.786118
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anne O. Krueger, 1978. "Foreign Trade Regimes and Economic Development: Liberalization Attempts and Consequences," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number krue78-1, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Simplice A. Asongu & Jules R. Minkoua N., 2018. "Dynamic openness and finance in Africa," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 409-430, May.
    2. Sayef Bakari, 2017. "The Three-Way Linkages Between Export, Import And Economic Growth: New Evidence From Tunisia," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 2(3), pages 13-53, December.
    3. Larissa Batrancea & Malar Mozhi Rathnaswamy & Ioan Batrancea, 2021. "A Panel Data Analysis of Economic Growth Determinants in 34 African Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-15, June.
    4. Simplice A. Asongu & Paul N. Acha-Anyi, 2017. "ICT, conflicts in financial intermediation and financial access: evidence of synergy and threshold effects," Netnomics, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 131-168, December.
    5. Simplice Asongu & Jacinta Nwachukwu, 2017. "Information asymmetry and conditional financial sector development," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(4), pages 372-392, November.
    6. Asongu, Simplice A. & Biekpe, Nicholas, 2018. "ICT, information asymmetry and market power in African banking industry," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 518-531.
    7. Asamoah, Michael Effah & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul, 2020. "Exploring the causal relationships and allocation puzzle between portfolio investments and real sector growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    8. Asamoah, Michael Effah & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Adu, Frank, 2021. "Financial development, portfolio investments and the real economy in Africa," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(4).
    9. Yogeeswari Subramaniam & Tajul Ariffin Masron & Nanthakumar Loganathan, 2024. "Imports and Food Security," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 16(1), pages 7-24, January.
    10. Zakaria Yakubu & Nanthakumar Loganathan & Tirta Nugraha Mursitama & Abbas Mardani & Syed Abdul Rehman Khan & Asan Ali Golam Hassan, 2020. "Financial Liberalisation, Political Stability, and Economic Determinants of Real Economic Growth in Kenya," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-16, July.
    11. Oladapo FAPETU & Segun Daniel OWOEYE, 2017. "Testing the validity of the export-led growth hypothesis in Nigeria: Evidence from non-oil and oil exports," Computational Methods in Social Sciences (CMSS), "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 5(2), pages 41-48, December.

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