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The effect of credit on growth and convergence of firm size in Kenyan manufacturing

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  • Janvier Desire Nkurunziza

Abstract

Few studies test for the effect of credit and convergence on firm growth in the context of a developing economy. The use of bank credit can affect firm growth in two opposite ways. The effect may be positive if credit allows a firm to address its liquidity constraint and increase investment and profitability. However, if macroeconomic shocks such as unexpected increases in interest rates make firm debts unsustainable, as experienced in Kenya in the 1990s, indebted firms may shrink or even collapse. Using microeconomic data on the Kenyan manufacturing sector, this study finds that conditional on survival, the firms that use credit grow faster than those not using it. There is also evidence that small firms grow faster than large ones, confirming the convergence hypothesis. These results are robust to alternative estimation procedures controlling for both endogeneity and selection bias.

Suggested Citation

  • Janvier Desire Nkurunziza, 2010. "The effect of credit on growth and convergence of firm size in Kenyan manufacturing," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 465-494.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:19:y:2010:i:3:p:465-494
    DOI: 10.1080/09638190802617670
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    Cited by:

    1. Olexandr Yemelyanov & Tetyana Petrushka & Anastasiya Symak & Olena Trevoho & Anatolii Turylo & Oksana Kurylo & Lesia Danchak & Dmytro Symak & Lilia Lesyk, 2020. "Microcredits for Sustainable Development of Small Ukrainian Enterprises: Efficiency, Accessibility, and Government Contribution," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-32, July.
    2. Shusen Qi & Steven Ongena & Hua Cheng, 2022. "Working with women, do men get all the credit?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 1427-1447, December.
    3. Peterson K. Ozili & Jide Oladipo & Paul Terhemba Iorember, 2022. "Effect of abnormal credit expansion and contraction on GDP per capita in ECOWAS countries," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(3), November.
    4. Osei-Tutu, Francis & Weill, Laurent, 2023. "Democracy favors access to credit of firms," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Karmen Naidoo & Léonce Ndikumana, 2023. "The role of unit labor costs in African manufacturing investment and export performance," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 1874-1909, August.
    6. Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Athari, Seyed Alireza, 2020. "Time-frequency co-movements between bank credit supply and economic growth in an emerging market: Does the bank ownership structure matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    7. Riaz, Yasir & Faff, Robert & Shehzad, Choudhry Tanveer & Shahab, Yasir, 2023. "Behavioral implications of sovereign ceiling doctrine for the access to credit by firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    8. Hacievliyagil Nuri & Eksi Ibrahim Halil, 2019. "A Micro Based Study on Bank Credit and Economic Growth: Manufacturing Sub-Sectors Analysis," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 72-91, June.
    9. Murmann Johann Peter & Korn Jenny & Worch Hagen, 2014. "How Fast Can Firms Grow?," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 234(2-3), pages 210-233, April.
    10. repec:aer:wpaper:380 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Francis OSEI-TUTU & Laurent WEILL, 2020. "Does Access to Credit Come with Access to Voting? Democracy and Firm Financing Constraints," Working Papers of LaRGE Research Center 2020-04, Laboratoire de Recherche en Gestion et Economie (LaRGE), Université de Strasbourg.
    12. Osei-Tutu, Francis & Weill, Laurent, 2022. "Bank efficiency and access to credit: International evidence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(3).

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