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Land use planning and wildfire risk mitigation: an analysis of wildfire-burned subdivisions using high-resolution remote sensing imagery and GIS data

Author

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  • Uddhab Bhandary
  • Brian Muller

Abstract

This paper evaluates risk factors that influence the probability that a house will burn from wildfire. A logistic regression is used to analyse data processed from pre-fire and post-fire IKONOS images and other geo-referenced data. The dependent variable is the probability that a given house will burn. A total of 12 independent variables are evaluated: vegetation density; area of defensible space; adjacency of a parcel to public lands; proximity of a house to fire station; road width; road type; parcel size; subdivision morphology; assessed value; elevation; slope and aspect. Model results generally support dominant land use planning and design strategies for wildfire risk reduction including vegetation treatments, site selection with respect to topography, and improving access to fire stations.

Suggested Citation

  • Uddhab Bhandary & Brian Muller, 2009. "Land use planning and wildfire risk mitigation: an analysis of wildfire-burned subdivisions using high-resolution remote sensing imagery and GIS data," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(7), pages 939-955.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jenpmg:v:52:y:2009:i:7:p:939-955
    DOI: 10.1080/09640560903181147
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexandra D Syphard & Avi Bar Massada & Van Butsic & Jon E Keeley, 2013. "Land Use Planning and Wildfire: Development Policies Influence Future Probability of Housing Loss," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(8), pages 1-12, August.
    2. James R. Meldrum & Patricia A. Champ & Hannah Brenkert‐Smith & Travis Warziniack & Christopher M. Barth & Lilia C. Falk, 2015. "Understanding Gaps Between the Risk Perceptions of Wildland–Urban Interface (WUI) Residents and Wildfire Professionals," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(9), pages 1746-1761, September.
    3. Susan D. Kocher & Van Butsic, 2017. "Governance of Land Use Planning to Reduce Fire Risk to Homes Mediterranean France and California," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-18, March.

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